首页|黑龙江省两城市大气污染与居民非意外日死亡的相关性研究

黑龙江省两城市大气污染与居民非意外日死亡的相关性研究

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目的 分析比较黑龙江省两城市大气污染对居民非意外日死亡的影响.方法 收集黑龙江省H市和J市2016-2018年居民非意外日死亡人数、大气污染物质量浓度及气象因素数据,采用时间序列广义相加模型定量研究PM2.5、PM10、SO2、NO2、O3和CO这6种大气污染物质量浓度对当地居民非意外死亡的影响.结果 H市大气中PM2.5、PM10、SO2、NO2、O3和 CO日均质量浓度分别为 49.2、74.3、23.9、40.3、78.4 µg/m3 和 1.0 mg/m3,J 市分别为 32.6、49.0、9.0、21.2、79.2 μg/m3 和0.6 mg/m3.H市和J市平均非意外每日总死亡人数分别为162、39例.各污染物浓度每增加10 μg/m3,H市和J市PM2.5致居民非意外日死亡人数分别增加0.26%(lag0)和0.35%(lag0),PM10分别增加0.19%(lag2)和0.31%(lag0),SO2分别增加1.06%(lag2)和 2.78%(lag1),NO2 分别增加 0.85%(lag2)和 1.31%(lag1),CO 分别增加 0.04%(lag5)和 0.06%(lag0),O3 分别增加0.83%(lag1)和0.64%(lag6).H市PM25对总人群的影响大于≥65岁人群和<65岁人群,NO2、03和CO对H市≥65岁人群影响最大,PM10和SO2对H市<65岁人群影响最大,而PM2.5、PM10、NO2、O3和CO对J市<65岁人群影响最大.结论 大气污染短期暴露可增加居民非意外日死亡风险,J市大气污染物(除O3外)对居民非意外日死亡的影响风险高于H市,两城市SO2、NO2和O3对居民非意外日死亡的影响值得关注.
Relationship between air pollution and non-accidental daily death of residents in two cities of Heilongjiang province
Objectives To understand the effect of air pollution on non-accidental daily death of local residents in two cities of Heilongjiang province.Methods The total non-accidental daily death toll of residents,air pollutant concentrations and meteorological data from 2016 to 2018 in city H and J of Heilongjiang province were collected,and the effects of pollutant concentrations of PM2.5,PM10,SO2,NO2,O3 and CO on non-accidental death of residents were quantitatively studied by using generalized additive model of time-series.Results Daily average concentrations of PM25,PM10,SO2,NO2,O3 and CO in the air were 49.2,74.3,23.9,40.3,78.4 µg/m3 and 1.0 mg/m3 in city H,and were 32.6,49.0,9.0,21.2,79.2 µg/m3 and 0.6 mg/m3 in city J,respectively.The average daily non-accidental deaths was 162 in city H and 39 in city J respectively.With an increase of 10 μg/m3 of the pollutants,the daily non-accidental deaths for PM25 exposure in city H and city J increased by 0.26%(lag0)and 0.35%(lag0)respectively,and the daily non-accidental deaths increased by 0.19%(lag2)and 0.31%(lag0)for PM10 respectively,and 1.06%(lag2)and 2.78%(lag1)for SO2,and 0.85%(lag2)and 1.31%(lag1)for NO2,and 0.04%(lag5)and 0.06%(lag0)for CO,and 0.83%(lag1)and 0.64%(lag6)for O3.PM2.5 had significant effect on the people aged ≥65 and aged<65,and NO2,O3 and CO had significant effect on people aged≥65 in H city,as well as the significant effect of PM10 and SO2 on the people aged over 65.However,PM2.5,PM10,NO2,O3 and CO had significant effect on the people aged<65 in city J.Conclusion Short-term exposure to air pollution can raise the total non-accidental daily death risk of residents,the risk caused by air pollutants(except O3)in city J is higher than that in city H,and also the total non-accidental daily death risk caused by SO2,NO2 and O3 in two cities should be paid more attention.

Air pollutionNon-accidental daily deathHeilongjiang provinceCity

郑晶、刘晓秋、李宏威、唐剑辉、刘芳

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黑龙江省疾病预防控制中心环境与健康所,黑龙江哈尔滨 150001

大气污染 非意外日死亡 黑龙江省 城市

黑龙江省卫生计生委科技计划项目

2018-554

2024

环境与健康杂志
中华预防医学会,天津市疾病预防控制中心

环境与健康杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.658
ISSN:1001-5914
年,卷(期):2024.41(4)
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