首页|基于乡镇尺度的儿童氟斑牙病情空间分布特征分析

基于乡镇尺度的儿童氟斑牙病情空间分布特征分析

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目的 在乡镇水平上探索氟斑牙病情空间分布和聚集性特征.方法 选取天津市2020年8~12周岁儿童氟斑牙检查数据,在乡镇尺度上建立氟斑牙病情空间地理信息数据库,采用MapInfo、GeoDa和SaTScan软件进行儿童氟斑牙病情的空间分布描述、自相关分析及空间扫描分析.结果 儿童氟斑牙患病率为36.23%,氟斑牙指数为0.70,呈轻微流行状态.全局自相关分析结果显示,儿童氟斑牙指数空间分布整体上存在正相关性(Moran's I=0.4807,Z=12.1711,P<0.001),不同性别和年龄儿童氟斑牙指数空间分布也存在正相关性.局部自相关分析结果显示,H-H聚集区分布在武清区、北辰区等10个乡镇;L-L聚集区散在分布于西青区、津南区等4个乡镇;分层分析发现,随年龄降低,H-H聚集区乡镇数有减少趋势,L-L聚集区乡镇数有增加趋势.SaTScan空间扫描检测到一个高值和一个低值聚集区域,高值聚集区域与局部空间自相关分析结果基本吻合.结论 天津市儿童氟斑牙病情分布存在显著的空间聚集现象,高-高聚集区是需要着重防控的重点区域.
Spatial distribution characteristics analysis of dental fluorosis in children based on township scale
Objective To understand the spatial distribution pattern and aggregation characteristics of dental fluorosis based on township scale,and to provide scientific basis for regional prevention and control of drinking-water fluorosis.Methods The monitoring data of dental fluorosis of children aged 8~12 in Tianjin in 2020 were collected to establish the spatial geographic information database of dental fluorosis at the township scale.MapInfo,GeoDa and SaTScan were used to describe the spatial distribution characteristics,autocorrelation analysis and spatial scanning analysis of dental fluorosis in children.Results In 2020,the prevalence rates of dental fluorosis in children aged 8-12 in Tianjin was 36.23%,and the fluorosis community index was 0.70,showing a slight prevalence.The results of global autocorrelation analysis showed that there was positive spatial autocorrelation of dental fluorosis in children(Moran's I=0.4807,Z=12.1711,P<0.001),and the spatial distribution of dental fluorosis in children of different genders and ages also existed positive correlation.Local Moran'I analysis showed that H-H clusters were distributed in 10 townships located in Wuqing district,Beichen district and other areas;L-L clusters were distributed in 4 townships located in Xiqing district,Jinnan district and other areas.Stratified analysis showed that the number of townships of H-H clusters tended to decrease and the number of townships of L-L clusters tended to increase with the decrease of the age.A high-value and a low-value cluster area were detected by SaTScan,and the cluster areas were basically consistent with the local Moran'I analysis results.Conclusion The distribution of dental fluorosis in children in Tianjin has a significant spatial clustering phenomenon,and high-high clusters are the key areas that need to be focused on in the prevention and control of drinking-water fluorosis.

ChildrenDental fluorosisSpatial distributionSpatial autocorrelationSaTScanAggregation

李文凤、王洋、李芳、崔玉山、张丹丹、段雅妮

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天津市疾病预防控制中心环境健康与学校卫生研究所,天津 300011

儿童 氟斑牙 空间分布 空间自相关 SaTScan 聚集性

天津市卫生健康科技项目天津市医学重点学科(专科)建设项目流行病学(非传染病预防与控制)资助项目

TJWJ2022QN092TJYXZDXK-051A

2024

环境与健康杂志
中华预防医学会,天津市疾病预防控制中心

环境与健康杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.658
ISSN:1001-5914
年,卷(期):2024.41(5)