首页|气象条件对鄂州公路物流运输的影响

气象条件对鄂州公路物流运输的影响

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为有效提高物流运输效率,更好地为物流企业提供优质气象服务,利用湖北交通气象站、鄂州国家气象观测站逐小时气温、降水、风向风速、气压、能见度、相对湿度等气象数据,同时收集和分析各大物流企业的快递物流信息,采用相关分析和多元线性回归方法,来揭示气象条件对物流运输时间的影响.结果表明,温度与物流运输时间呈显著负相关,气温和地面温度的降低,会造成运输时间的延长;风速对于货车运输有较大影响,物流运输时间与过程最大风速呈正比,说明过程最大风速越大,运输时间越长;相对湿度对物流运输也有一定的影响,两者呈正相关关系,物流运输时间随着相对湿度的增大而延长;物流运输时间与3h降水量呈正相关关系,物流运输时间随着降水量的增大而延长;物流运输时间与能见度呈负相关关系,运输时间随着能见度的减小而延长;根据各气象要素对物流运输的影响,构建了物流运输回归模型,回归方程通过显著性检验,可根据气象预报对物流运输时间进行预测,并提出合理化的建议.
The Influence of Meteorological Conditions on Highway Logistics and Transportation in Ezhou
In order to effectively improve the efficiency of logistics transportation and better provide high-quality meteorological services for logistics enterprises,this paper used the hourly temperature,precipitation,wind direction and speed,air pressure,visibility,relative hu-midity and other meteorological data of Hubei Traffic Meteorological Stations and Ezhou National General Meteorological Observation Sta-tion,and collected and analyzed the express logistics information of major logistics enterprises.Through correlation analysis and multiple linear regression method,it revealed the influence relationship between logistics transportation time and meteorological conditions.The re-search showed that the temperature was significantly negatively correlated with the logistics transportation efficiency,and the reduction of air temperature and ground temperature will lead to the extension of transportation time;The wind speed had a great impact on truck transportation.The logistics transportation time was proportional to the maximum wind speed in the process,indicating that the greater the maximum wind speed in the process,the longer the transportation time;The relative humidity also had a certain impact on the logistics transportation,and the two were positively correlated,indicating that the logistics transportation time was prolonged with the increase of relative humidity;The logistics transportation time was positively correlated with 3 h precipitation,and the logistics transportation time was prolonged with the increase of precipitation;There was a negative correlation between logistics transportation time and visibility,and the transportation time increases with the decrease of visibility;According to the impact of various meteorological elements on logistics trans-portation,a logistics transportation regression model was constructed.The regression equation passes the significance test,which could predict the logistics transportation time according to the weather forecast,and put forward reasonable suggestions.

highwaymeteorological conditionslogistics transportationregression analysis

王保、洪涛、侯尧、薛晶晶

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鄂州市气象局,湖北 鄂州 436000

梁子湖区气象局,湖北 鄂州 436000

公路 气象条件 物流运输 回归分析

2024

黑龙江交通科技
黑龙江省交通科学研究所,黑龙江省交通科技情报总站

黑龙江交通科技

影响因子:0.977
ISSN:1008-3383
年,卷(期):2024.47(10)