黑龙江科学2024,Vol.15Issue(20) :30-34.

综合多因素影响的雪崩风险评估与预防模型研究

Avalanche Risk Assessment and Prevention Model Based on Multi-factors

余浩 杨阳光
黑龙江科学2024,Vol.15Issue(20) :30-34.

综合多因素影响的雪崩风险评估与预防模型研究

Avalanche Risk Assessment and Prevention Model Based on Multi-factors

余浩 1杨阳光1
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作者信息

  • 1. 河南财经政法大学数学与信息科学学院,郑州 450016
  • 折叠

摘要

雪崩是高山地区常见的自然灾害之一,对人类活动和环境造成了严重威胁.为了科学评估雪崩风险、建立雪崩预防模型、改进小型雪崩预防策略,采取综合研究方法,通过文献查找和数据收集全面了解雪崩发生的影响因素,收集了气象、地形、树木年轮等多维数据,通过数据可视化分析揭示雪崩频率、规模和发生概率之间的潜在规律,建立了雪崩风险评估和雪崩预防基础模型,对雪崩风险进行全面评估.为了进一步提高雪崩预防效果,针对小型雪崩进行地形分析,进行小型雪崩预防模型的改进,通过引入适当时机、放置位置和爆破物威力等新增影响因子,综合考虑多重因素对雪崩的影响.通过实际观测数据和模拟数据对模型进行验证,确保了模型的可靠性和预测准确性.此研究可为雪崩风险评估和预防提供科学依据,为相关地区的防灾减灾工作提供有力支持.

Abstract

Avalanche is one of the common natural disasters in alpine areas,which pose a serious threat to human activities and environment.In order to scientifically assess avalanche risk,establish avalanche prevention models and improve small avalanche prevention strategies,the study comprehensively analyzes the influencing factors of avalanche occurrence with comprehensive research methods through literature search and data collection;collects multi-dimensional,data such as meteorological,terrain and tree rings;conducts data visualization analysis;reveals the potential law between avalanche frequency,scale and occurrence probability;and establishes the basic model of avalanche risk assessment and avalanche prevention to evaluate avalanche risk comprehensively.The model is verified by actual observation data and simulated data to ensure the reliability and prediction accuracy of the model.The study can provide scientific basis for avalanche risk assessment and prevention,and provide strong support for disaster prevention and mitigation in related areas.

关键词

雪崩风险评估/雪崩预防/数据可视化/小型雪崩/影响因子

Key words

Avalanche risk assessment/Avalanche prevention/Data visualization/Small avalanches/Influence factor

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出版年

2024
黑龙江科学
黑龙江省科学院

黑龙江科学

影响因子:1.014
ISSN:1674-8646
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