黑龙江科学2024,Vol.15Issue(22) :128-130.

传染病传播数据分析与预测方法的研究进展——以Covid-19为例

Research Progress of Infectious Disease Transmission Data Analysis and Prediction Methods——Through Taking Covid-19 as an Example

杨敏华 张诗涵 吴雄周 马谷阳 邓婧姝
黑龙江科学2024,Vol.15Issue(22) :128-130.

传染病传播数据分析与预测方法的研究进展——以Covid-19为例

Research Progress of Infectious Disease Transmission Data Analysis and Prediction Methods——Through Taking Covid-19 as an Example

杨敏华 1张诗涵 1吴雄周 1马谷阳 1邓婧姝1
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作者信息

  • 1. 吉首大学商学院,湖南 吉首 416000
  • 折叠

摘要

以新型冠状病毒肺炎(Covid-19)为例,对学术界在疫情传播数据分析与预测方面的研究进展进行综述,以提高传染病的防控和应急管理能力.将统计学分析(回归和拟合分析、时间序列分析及函数型数据分析)、动力学模型分析(SIR模型、SEIR模型和其他拓展模型)和LSTM神经网络模型分析的优缺点进行比较,分析结果可为未来的传染病防控管理与决策提供理论参考.

Abstract

Through taking Covid-19 as an example,the study reviews the research progress in the analysis and prediction of epidemic transmission data,so as to improve the prevention,control and emergency management capacity of infectious diseases.The study compares the advantages and disadvantages of statistical analysis(regression and fitting analysis,time series analysis,and functional data analysis),dynamic model analysis(SIR Model,SEIR model and other extended models)and LSTM neural network model analysis.The analysis results can provide theoretical reference for future management and decision-making of infectious disease prevention and control.

关键词

Covid-19/传染病防控/数据分析/预测方法

Key words

Covid-19/Prevention and control of infectious diseases/Data analysis/Forecasting method

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出版年

2024
黑龙江科学
黑龙江省科学院

黑龙江科学

影响因子:1.014
ISSN:1674-8646
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