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赣南地区地质灾害风险区划分析研究

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赣南地区山地丘陵地貌广泛分布,区内地质灾害高达10417处,严重威胁居民生命财产安全,因此,在该地区开展地质灾害风险评价对于预测、预报及防灾减灾具有重要意义.本文基于1∶5万地质灾害详查数据,分析了赣南地区的孕灾背景、灾害的发育分布特征及主控因素;在此基础上确定了坡度、斜坡结构、工程地质岩组、土层厚度、地貌单元及已发生灾害点密度六个易发性评价因子,并采用综合性指数法进行易发性评价.其次,开展20年一遇最大24小时降雨量及切坡诱发因素下研究区危险性评价,并叠加易损性分析对研究区开展风险评价.结果表明,研究区灾害以小型浅层流滑类型为主,主要发育于变质岩和岩浆岩残坡积层中,降雨及切坡活动是灾害发生的主控因素.赣南地区地质灾害极高风险、高风险、中风险、低风险区占比分别为0.8%、45.7%、40.3%和13.2%,其中,极高、高风险区主要分布于石城县、兴国县山区,而中低风险区主要分布在平原、丘陵等平缓地段.本文研究结果对该区域及类似区域的地质灾害风险防治与管控具有指导意义.
Analysis of Geological Hazard Risk Regionalization in Southern Jiangxi Province
The mountainous and hilly terrain of the southern Jiangxi(Gan Nan)region is widely distributed,with a total of 10,417 geological hazards,which pose a significant threat to the safety of lives and property.Therefore,conducting geological hazard risk assessments for this region is crucial for prediction,forecasting,and disaster reduction.This study,based on detailed geological hazard survey data at a 1∶50,000 scale,analyzes the disaster-prone background and distribution characteristics of geological hazards and the main control factors in southern Jiangxi.On this basis,six susceptibility evaluation factors were identified:slope,slope structure,engineering geological rock group,soil thickness,geomorphological units,and the density of previously occurred disaster points.A comprehensive index method was used for susceptibility assessment.Additionally,a hazard assessment was conducted for the study area,taking into account the 20-year return maximum 24-hour rainfall and slope-cutting-induced factors.The risk assessment was further refined by incorporating vulnerability analysis.The results show that the main types of disasters in the study area are small-scale shallow landslides and debris flows,which predominantly occur in metamorphic and igneous rock residual slope deposits,with rainfall and slope cutting activities being the dominant controlling factors.The proportions of the extremely high-risk,high-risk,medium-risk,and low-risk areas in southern Jiangxi are 0.8%,45.7%,40.3%,and 13.2%,respectively.The extremely high-risk and high-risk zones are mainly concentrated in the mountainous areas of Shicheng County and Xingguo County,while the medium-risk and low-risk zones are primarily found in the flat areas such as plains and hills.The findings of this study provide important guidance for the risk prevention and management of geological hazards in this region and similar geological environments.

geological hazardrisk assessmentcontrol measuresouthern Jiangxi province

何寒舟、丁一

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江西省地质局水文地质大队,江西南昌 330000

江西省地质调查勘查院地质环境监测所,江西南昌 330000

地质灾害 风险评价 管控措施 赣南

2024

华南地质
武汉地质矿产研究所

华南地质

影响因子:0.516
ISSN:1007-3701
年,卷(期):2024.40(4)