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法定数字货币对商业银行风险承担的影响

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运用支付投资组合模型和金融中介模型,分析法定数字货币发行对商业银行风险承担的影响机制,并结合中国2007-2020年344家银行的面板数据进行实证检验.研究表明,法定数字货币发行对存款的挤占会增加商业银行的风险承担水平,并通过银行放贷能力、流动性水平和银行盈利能力的中介机制发挥作用.此外,金融科技发展水平会影响法定数字货币发行对商业银行风险承担的影响强度,并且该调节效应具有门槛特征,即金融科技发展水平跨越门槛值之后,正向促进法定数字货币和银行风险承担之间关系的作用会减弱,从长期来看金融科技的积极作用不容忽视.本文研究结论对于了解法定数字货币发行相关风险敞口特征、探寻防范化解法定数字货币风险对策具有一定的政策参考价值.
Effects of Central Bank Digital Currency on Commercial Banks'Risk Assumption
This study harnesses the payment investment portfolio model and financial inter-mediary model to examine the influence of central bank digital currency(CBDC)issuance on commercial banks'risk assumption;it further substantiates the analysis by empirical testing using panel data from 344 Chinese banks spanning 2007 to 2020.The study unveils that CBDC issuance amplifies the risk assumption in commercial banks via deposit displacement and operates through mediating mechanisms such as the bank's lending capacity,liquidity level,and profitability.More-over,the level of fintech development exerts an impact on the strength of CBDC issuance's effect on commercial banks'risk assumption,exhibiting a threshold characteristic.Once fintech develop-ment surpasses this threshold,the positive correlation between CBDC and bank risk assumption diminishes.These findings are instrumental in comprehending risk exposure characteristics associ-ated with CBDC issuance and in devising strategies to mitigate the associated risks.

central bank digital currencybank risk assumptionfintechdeposit displace-ment

崔婕、孙志岳

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山西财经大学金融学院

法定数字货币 银行风险承担 中介效应 金融科技

国家社会科学基金年度项目

22BJY165

2024

金融经济学研究
广东金融学院

金融经济学研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.565
ISSN:1674-1625
年,卷(期):2024.39(2)
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