首页|供应链客户的稳定能够促进金融市场的稳定吗——基于股价崩盘风险视角

供应链客户的稳定能够促进金融市场的稳定吗——基于股价崩盘风险视角

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利用2010-2020年沪深A股上市公司前五名客户结构动态变化数据,实证检验供应链客户的稳定是否能够抑制企业股价崩盘风险,以考察产品市场上的客户稳定对股票市场乃至整个金融市场体系安全稳定性的影响.研究发现,客户稳定度越高,企业的股价崩盘风险越低;异质性检验结果显示,在外部监督力量弱、客户集中度高、业务复杂度高以及客户地理距离近的企业中,客户稳定度对股价崩盘风险的抑制作用更强;机制分析表明,客户稳定度影响企业股价崩盘风险的两条作用路径分别是降低经营风险和提高信息披露质量.建议有关部门继续确保产业链供应链稳定,企业管理层积极维护与客户之间的稳定业务关系并引入大客户参与公司治理,投资者充分关注上市公司客户结构动态变化情况及其带来的影响.
Can the Stability of Customers in the Supply Chain Promote Financial Market Stability?A Perspective Based on Stock Price Crash Risk
This study used data on dynamic shifts in the top five customer structures of com-panies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share markets from 2010 to 2020 to empirically assess whether customer stability in the supply chain reduces the risk of corporate stock price cra-shes.The study explored the influence of customer stability in the product market on the safety and stability of the stock market and broader financial market system.The findings indicate that a higher degree of customer stability is associated with a reduced risk of stock price crashes for companies.Heterogeneity tests demonstrated that the protective effect of customer stability against stock price crash risk is more pronounced in firms with weaker external oversight,elevated cus-tomer concentration,increased operational complexity,and geographical closeness to their custom-ers.Customer stability mitigates stock price crash risk via two principal channels:lowering opera-tional risk and improving information disclosure quality.The study's recommendations include continued governmental actions to ensure industrial and supply chain stability,proactive mainte-nance by corporate management of stable customer relationships and inclusion of key customers in governance,and vigilant monitoring by investors of listed companies'customer structure changes and their potential effects.

customer stabilitystock price crash riskoperational riskinformation disclosure risk

张勇、殷健

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南京林业大学经济管理学院

青岛农业大学经济管理学院

客户稳定度 股价崩盘风险 经营风险 信息披露风险

国家社会科学基金一般项目

22BJY190

2024

金融经济学研究
广东金融学院

金融经济学研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.565
ISSN:1674-1625
年,卷(期):2024.39(3)