首页|数字经济发展能否缓解劳动力市场"极化"?——基于我国31个省级面板数据的实证分析

数字经济发展能否缓解劳动力市场"极化"?——基于我国31个省级面板数据的实证分析

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数字经济发展对劳动力市场的技能结构变化带来了深刻影响.基于2011-2022年我国31个省(自治区、直辖市)面板数据,运用双向固定效应模型、非线性调节模型等方法,探究数字经济发展对劳动力市场"极化"的缓解作用.研究显示:数字经济发展能够促进中层次技能劳动力就业增长,并抑制高技能和低技能劳动力就业的两端分化,从而缓解劳动力市场"极化";从具体机制来看,数字经济发展主要通过提高劳动力技能互补程度和增强劳动力流动性,来缓解劳动力市场"极化";数字经济发展不仅能够显著缓解技术进步对劳动力市场产生的高技能"极化"偏向影响,而且在产业结构升级与劳动力市场"极化"的U形作用关系中具有负向调节作用;但数字经济发展对劳动力市场"极化"的缓解效果存在性别异质性,其对女性样本的劳动力市场"极化"具有显著双向缓解作用,对男性样本的劳动力市场"极化"的抑制作用则主要表现在高技能偏向方面.因此,应充分发展数字经济,加快推动数字技术工具和数字平台在劳动力市场中的应用,充分利用数字技术的时代红利,缓解劳动力市场"极化"趋势,这将有助于加快推动我国高质量充分就业的实现.
Can the Development of the Digital Economy Alleviate Labor Polarization?An Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Data from 31 Provinces in China
The development of the digital economy has had a profound impact on the skill structure in the labor market.Based on panel data from 31 provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities)in China from 2011 to 2022,this study used methods such as bidirectional fixed effects models and nonlinear moderation models to explore whether the development of the digital economy can alleviate labor market polarization.The research results show:the development of the digital economy can promote the growth of employment for medium skilled labor and suppress the polarization between high skilled and low skilled labor,thereby alleviating the"polarization"of the labor market.From a specific mechanism perspective,the development of the digital economy alleviates the"polarization"of the labor market mainly by enhancing the heterogeneity and complementarity of labor skills and enhancing labor mobility.The development of the digital economy can not only significantly alleviate the high skill polarization bias of technological progress on the labor market,but also have a negative moderating effect on the U-shaped relationship between industrial structure upgrading and labor market polarization.However,there is gender heterogeneity in the alleviating effect of digital economy development on the"polarization"of the labor market.It has a significant bidirectional alleviation effect on the"polarization"of the labor market for female samples,while its inhibitory effect on the"polarization"of the labor market for male samples is mainly manifested in the high skill bias.Therefore,it is suggested to fully develop the digital economy,accelerate the application of digital technology tools and platforms in the labor market,and leverage the opportunities brought by the digital era.This approach can help mitigate the"polarization"trend in the labor market,contributing to the realization of high-quality and full employment in China.

digital economythe"polarization"of the labor marketskill heterogeneitylabor mobility

段钢、刘贤铤

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云南民族大学云南省民族研究所,云南 昆明 650504

云南民族大学经济与管理学院,云南 昆明 650504

数字经济 劳动力市场"极化" 技能异质性 劳动力流动

2025

华南理工大学学报(社会科学版)
华南理工大学

华南理工大学学报(社会科学版)

影响因子:0.477
ISSN:1009-055X
年,卷(期):2025.27(1)