首页|"价补分离"改革对中国玉米生产的影响效应与作用机制

"价补分离"改革对中国玉米生产的影响效应与作用机制

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基于 2009-2020 年玉米主产省市域层面数据,采用DID模型和中介效应模型,探究"价补分离"改革对中国玉米生产的影响效应与作用机制.研究表明:价补分离政策显著减少了玉米播种面积,提高了玉米单位面积产量,并降低了玉米总产量;价补分离政策对玉米生产的影响具有时效性,这一影响随时间推移而减弱;价补分离政策通过增加竞争作物种植比例来减少玉米播种面积,同时促进了粮食作物种植结构优化;价补分离政策通过增加农业机械化水平促进了玉米单产;玉米播种面积的负向效应大于玉米单产的正向效应,价补分离政策通过减少玉米播种面积,最终使玉米总产量降低.
Effect and Mechanism of the Reform of"Price-Compensation Separation"on China's Maize Production
Based on the municipal panel data of six major corn producing provinces from 2009 to 2020,this paper uses theDID model and Intermediate Effect Model to explore the impact of"separation of price and subsidy"reform on China's corn production and its impact mechanism.The results show that:the de-coupling policy has significantly reduced the corn planting area,increased the yield per unit area,and decreased the total corn production.From a dynamic perspective,the impact on corn production is time-sensitive,and this impact weakens over time.In terms of the influencing mechanism,the decoupling pol-icy reduces the corn planting area by increasing the proportion of competitive crops and promotes the opti-mization of the grain crop planting structure.For the yield per unit area of corn,the decoupling policy promotes the yield per unit area by increasing the level of agricultural mechanization.As for the total corn production,the negative effect of the reduction in corn planting area outweighs the positive effect of the yield per unit area,and the decoupling policy ultimately leads to a decrease in total corn production.

grain subsidy policy"separation of price and subsidy"reformmaize productionplanta-tion structure

徐金海、彭悦

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扬州大学 商学院,江苏 扬州 225009

粮食补贴政策 价补分离 玉米生产 粮食种植结构

教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目子课题教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金中国博士后科学基金面上项目

20JZD03122YJC7900062022M722691

2024

华南农业大学学报(社会科学版)
华南农业大学

华南农业大学学报(社会科学版)

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.013
ISSN:1672-0202
年,卷(期):2024.23(1)
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