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农业保险风险转移与化肥减量

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基于2011-2022年我国粮食主产省的县级面板数据,以完全成本保险试点这一外生政策为准自然实验,运用双重差分法考察了农业风险管理对单位面积化肥用量的影响.研究结果表明,完全成本保险试点具有显著的化肥减量效应.机制分析发现,完全成本保险试点通过降低农业收入波动促进了化肥减量.异质性分析发现,开展试点更有助于降低自然灾害高发和农地经营规模更高地区的单位面积化肥用量.据此,应提高农业保险法制化水平,推进风险管理正式制度建设,以保障农业保险绿色减量效应的实现;同时实施差异化的费率和保费补贴政策,加大对自然灾害高发和农地经营规模更高地区的政策支持力度;最后规范理赔制度,进一步强化农业保险的稳收效果.
Risk Transfer of Agricultural Insurance and Fertilizer Reduction
Based on the county-level panel data of major grain-producing provinces in China from 2011 to 2022,the impact of agricultural risk management on fertilizer use per unit area is investigated using a double-difference model with a quasi-natural experiment based on the exogenous policy of the full-cost insurance pilot.The results show that conducting the full-cost insurance pilot has a significant effect on fertilizer reductio.The mechanism analysis shows that the full-cost insurance pilot promotes fertilizer reduction by reducing agricultural income volatility.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the pilot program is more conducive to reducing fertilizer use per unit area in areas with high incidence of natural disasters and higher scale of farmland operations.Accordingly,the legalization of agricultural insurance should be improved and the construction of a formal system for risk management should be promoted in order to safeguard the realization of the green reduction effect of agricultural insurance.At the same time,differ-entiated rates and premium subsidy policies should be implemented,and policy support should be increased for areas with high incidence of natural disasters and higher scale of farmland operations.Final-ly,the claims system should be standardized,and the stabilizing effect of income from agricultural insur-ance should be further strengthened.

agricultural riskfertilizer reductionfull-cost insuranceagricultural income

徐雯、张锦华

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上海财经大学财经研究所,上海 200433

上海财经大学城乡发展研究院,上海 200433

农业风险 化肥减量 完全成本保险 农业收入

国家社会科学基金重大项目

23&ZD118

2024

华南农业大学学报(社会科学版)
华南农业大学

华南农业大学学报(社会科学版)

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.013
ISSN:1672-0202
年,卷(期):2024.23(3)
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