首页|中国省际制造业转移的数量化特征与动因识别

中国省际制造业转移的数量化特征与动因识别

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本文使用制造业企业的注册位置信息,通过计算空间分布距离的核密度函数变化,来测度并揭示新发展格局下我国产业转移的演进趋势与数量化特征.研究发现:地区间制造业转移开始打破传统的雁阵模式,衍生出"西移"与"回流"并存的混合式转移特征;中西部省份承接制造业转移呈俱乐部式格局,而沿海省份在历经"去工业化"后重新迈向"再工业化".从行业来看,各要素密集型行业均呈现由东部和东北地区向中西部地区转移的基本态势,其中,劳动密集型行业为区域间转移的主力军,但转移幅度稍有回落,资本密集型和技术密集型行业在区域间转移呈现趋势反转过程,而高载能行业表现出东部加速向西部地区转移,但各类典型行业在沿海内部的转移则日益频繁,尤其南部沿海成为主要回流承接区.交通基础设施、物质资本与人力资本等要素是促进制造业跨区域转移的关键动力,但不同要素密集型行业也存在各自特有的驱动因素.这也表明平衡生产力的空间布局,既要考虑地区要素禀赋特征,也要基于行业发展的自身规律.
Quantitative Characteristics and Motivation Identification of Interprovincial Manufacturing Transfer in China
The paper uses the registered location information of manufacturing enterprises,and measures and reveals the evolu-tionary trend and quantitative characteristics of China's industrial transfer under the new development pattern through calculating the changes in the kernel density function of spatial distribution distance.The research finds that the inter-regional manufacturing transfer starts to break the traditional wild geese pattern,deriving a hybrid transfer characteristic of"westward movement"and"return".The central and western provinces undertake the manufacturing transfer in a club-like pattern,while the coastal provinces are moving to-wards"re-industrialization"after experiencing"de-industrialization".From an industry perspective,all factor-intensive industries show a basic trend of transferring from the eastern and northeastern regions to the central and western regions.Among them,labor-in-tensive industries are the main force for inter-regional transfer,but the transfer range has slightly fallen back.Capital-intensive and technology-intensive industries show a trend of reversal in inter-regional transfer,while high-capacity industries show that the eastern regions is accelerating to transfer to the western regions rich in clean energy,but the transfer within the coastal provinces of various typ-ical industries is increasingly frequent,especially the southern coast becomes the main return undertaking area.Transportation infra-structure,physical capital,and human capital are key drivers for promoting cross-regional manufacturing transfer,but different factor-intensive industries also have their own unique driving factors.This also shows that balanced layout of productive forces should not only consider the characteristics of regional factor endowments but also be based on the inherent laws of industry development.

manufacturingindustrial transferfactor endowmentsreturn flows

陈永伟、张艺栌、姜昊

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浙江工商大学 经济学院, 浙江 杭州 310018

华东师范大学 经济与管理学院, 上海 200062

制造业 产业转移 要素禀赋 回流

国家社会科学基金

23AJL006

2024

商学研究
湖南商学院

商学研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.293
ISSN:2096-4315
年,卷(期):2024.31(1)
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