首页|行业工资差距、预期寿命异质性与延迟法定退休年龄研究

行业工资差距、预期寿命异质性与延迟法定退休年龄研究

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基于行业工资差距和预期寿命的异质性视角,本文研究了延迟法定退休年龄问题.研究发现:首先,行业工资差距并未表现出长期递减趋势,因此研究延迟法定退休年龄不应忽视行业工资差距.其次,工资水平与预期寿命正相关,从事低收入行业的人员因延迟退休而受到的不利影响更大,政府在制定政策时应该要关注这类群体.最后,虽然延迟退休缩短了养老金领取年限,但是却提高了各年养老金待遇.这两个因素相互作用使得延迟退休对参保者养老保险净收益的影响呈现U形特征.也就是说,当退休年龄较低时,延迟退休能降低养老保险净收益,这有助于缓解政府养老保险基金收支压力;反之,当退休年龄较高时,延迟退休反而加剧了政府养老保险基金收支压力.由此可知,在当前养老保险制度下延迟法定退休年龄政策是有年龄上限的.研究还发现,在中国预期寿命逐渐提高的背景下,如果不断提高个人账户养老金计发月数,降低个人账户养老金待遇,退休年龄对养老保险净收益的影响就会逐渐从U形特征转变为单调递减趋势.为抵消人口老龄化加速趋势对养老保险基金收支的不利影响,政府应制定逐步延迟法定退休年龄的配套措施,提高个人账户养老金计发月数.
Industrial Wage Gap,Life Expectancy Heterogeneity and Delayed Statutory Retirement Age
Based on the perspectives of industrial wage gap and life expectancy heterogeneity,this paper studies the issue of dela-ying the statutory retirement age.The paper finds the following conclusions:First,industrial wage gap does not show a long-term de-creasing trend,so the analysis of delaying the statutory retirement age should not ignore industrial wage gap.Second,because industrial wage is positively correlated with life expectancy,people engaged in low-income industries are more adversely affected by delayed re-tirement,and the formulation of policies should pay attention to such groups.Finally,although delaying the retirement age shortens sur-vival life of drawing pension,it improves the pension benefits in each year.The net revenue curve of pension insurance presents a U-shaped because of interaction of above two factors.That is to say,when the retirement age is low,delaying the retirement age can re-duce the net revenue of pension insurance,which helps ease the pressure on government pension funds.On the contrary,when the re-tirement age is higher,delaying the retirement age increases the net revenue of pension insurance,which in turn exacerbates the pres-sure on government pension funds,showing that there is an upper age limit in the policy of delaying the statutory retirement age under the current pension insurance system.To break this restriction,this paper finds that against the backdrop of the gradual increase of life expectancy in China,if the number of months of individual account pension is continuously increased to reduce the individual account pension treatment,then the impact of retirement age on the net income of the pension insurance gradually changes from a U-shaped characteristic to a monotonically decreasing trend.Therefore,to offset the negative impact of the accelerating trend of population ageing on the income and expenditure of the pension fund,the government's complementary measure to gradually delay the statutory retire-ment age is to increase the number of months of individual account pension payments.

wage gaplife expectancyretirement age

李明桥、胡清云

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西南石油大学 马克思主义学院, 四川 成都 610500

工资差距 预期寿命 退休年龄

教育部规划项目

23YJA840010

2024

商学研究
湖南商学院

商学研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.293
ISSN:2096-4315
年,卷(期):2024.31(1)
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