首页|原发性肝癌患者介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全的危险因素预测模型构建

原发性肝癌患者介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全的危险因素预测模型构建

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目的 分析原发性肝癌患者介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全的危险因素并构建预测模型.方法 2018年5月至2022年12月于郑州市中医院肿瘤介入科接受介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全的原发性肝癌患者108例纳入研究组,另择同期未发生肝功能代偿不全的患者112例纳入对照组,回顾性收集患者的临床资料.通过单因素及多因素分析法分析原发性肝癌患者介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全发生的危险因素,建立预测模型,并绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析预测模型对原发性肝癌患者介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全发生的预测价值.结果 多因素logistic分析结果显示,年龄>60岁、肝癌病理类型巨块型、肝功能分级B级、介入治疗次数>2次、合并肝硬化、重度贫血、合并低蛋白血症为原发性肝癌患者介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全发生的危险因素(P<0.05).将上述因素纳入预测模型.将介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全患者纳入阳性,介入治疗后未发生肝功能代偿不全患者纳入阴性,按照预测模型绘制预测原发性肝癌患者介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全发生的ROC曲线,结果显示,当logit(P)>13.67时,曲线下面积(AUC)为0.903,诊断敏感度为88.77%、特异度为83.12%.结论 原发性肝癌患者介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全的发生与多种因素密切相关,据此建立的预测模型预测原发性肝癌患者介入治疗后肝功能代偿不全发生的价值较高,可为筛选高危患者、制定临床防治策略提供依据.
Construction of Risk Factor Prediction Model for Liver Function Insufficiency in Patients with Primary Liver Cancer After Interventional Therapy
Objective To analyze the risk factors of liver function insufficiency in patients with primary liver cancer after interventional therapy and build a prediction model.Methods From May 2018 to December 2022,108 patients with primary liver cancer who received interventional therapy and liver function insufficiency were included in the study group,and 112 patients who did not have liver function insufficiency during the other period were included in the control group.Clinical data of these patients were retrospectively collected.The risk factors of liver function insufficiency in patients with primary liver cancer after interventional therapy were analyzed by single factor analysis and multivariate analysis,the prediction model was established,and the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was drawn to analyze the predictive value of the prediction model for liver function insufficiency in patients with primary liver cancer after interventional therapy.Results Multivariate logistic analysis showed that age>60 years old,pathological type of liver cancer giant type,liver function classification grade B,number of interventional therapy>2 times,complicated with cirrhosis,severe anemia,and complicated with hypoproteinemia were risk factors for liver function insufficiency after interventional therapy in patients with primary liver cancer(P<0.05).Incorporate the above factors into the forecast model.Patients with liver function insufficiency after interventional therapy were included as positive,while patients with non-compensatory liver function insufficiency after interventional therapy were included as negative.ROC curve for predicting the occurrence of liver function insufficiency in patients with primary liver cancer after interventional therapy was drawn according to the prediction model.The results showed that when logit(P)>13.67,area under curve(AUC)was 0.903,the diagnostic sensitivity was 88.77%,the specificity was 83.12%.Conclusion The occurrence of liver function insufficiency in patients with primary liver cancer after interventional therapy was closely related to many factors,the established prediction model had high value in predicting the occurrence of liver function insufficiency in patients with primary liver cancer after interventional therapy,and could provide basis for screening high-risk patients and formulating clinical prevention and treatment strategies.

primary liver cancerliver function insufficiencyrisk factorsmodelreceiver operating characteristic

焦勤书、焦佳豪

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郑州市中医院肿瘤介入科,河南郑州 450007

河南工业大学漯河工学院食品学院,河南漯河 462000

原发性肝癌 肝功能代偿不全 危险因素 模型 受试者工作特征曲线

2024

河南医学研究
河南省医学科学院

河南医学研究

影响因子:0.979
ISSN:1004-437X
年,卷(期):2024.33(23)