华东地质2024,Vol.45Issue(4) :440-451.DOI:10.16788/j.hddz.32-1865/P.2023.12.017

无锡市浅层地下水的化学影响因子及贡献率解析

Chemical influence factors and contribution rate in shallow groundwater of Wuxi City

李亮 周锴锷 李洁 龚建师 檀梦皎 张飞 朱应新 刘林 叶永红
华东地质2024,Vol.45Issue(4) :440-451.DOI:10.16788/j.hddz.32-1865/P.2023.12.017

无锡市浅层地下水的化学影响因子及贡献率解析

Chemical influence factors and contribution rate in shallow groundwater of Wuxi City

李亮 1周锴锷 1李洁 1龚建师 1檀梦皎 1张飞 1朱应新 1刘林 1叶永红1
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 中国地质调查局南京地质调查中心,江苏南京 210016;自然资源部流域生态地质过程重点实验室,江苏南京 210016
  • 折叠

摘要

地下水化学影响因子的准确判断是地下水污染评价等级划分、治理方案选择和治理目标确立的重要依据.文章以无锡市67组浅层地下水样品为研究对象,利用数理统计、因子分析和绝对因子得分-多元线性回归分析模型对地下水化学影响因子进行解析,结果显示:①无锡市浅层地下水质量等级评价中Ⅲ类水占比53.7%,超Ⅲ类水占比46.3%,超标离子依次为COD、NH4+、NO3-、SO42-,表明地下水受到了外界环境的影响;②地下水类型共9种,以HCO3-Ca·Na型、HCO3-Ca型和HCO3·SO4-Ca·Na型为主,占样品总数的76.1%,表明地下水化学优势离子明显,即影响因子较为集中;③通过因子分析法筛选出该区影响地下水化学的3大公因子,即自然演化影响因子F1、工业生产影响因子F2和农业生产影响因子F3,累计方差贡献率为76.05%,它们对地下水化学指标的综合贡献率分别为57.44%、27.62%和14.94%,说明自然演化是地下水主要化学组分的主控因素,工业、农业活动对可能造成地下水污染的化学组分影响较大,且工业活动的影响大于农业活动.地下水化学指标实测浓度与绝对因子得分-多元线性回归分析模型的预测浓度具有较好的一致性,表明该方法适用于地下水化学影响因子解析.

Abstract

Accurate assessment of the chemical factors influencing groundwater is crucial to classify ground-water pollution,select appropriate treatment schemes and set treatment objectives. This study analyzes 67 groups of shallow groundwater samples from Wuxi city in Jiangsu Province by using mathematical statistics,factor anal-ysis,and an absolute factor score-multiple linear regression model. The findings are as follows:Firstly,regarding the quality grade of shallow groundwater in Wuxi,Class Ⅲ water constitutes 53.7% of the samples,while ultra-Class Ⅲ water accounts for 46.3%. The ions exceeding standards are COD,NH4+,NO3-and SO42-in sequence.Secondly,the groundwater can be categorized into 9 types,with HCO3-Ca·Na,HCO3-Ca and HCO3·SO4-Ca Na types predominating,representing 76.1% of the total samples. Thirdly,three major chemical influence factors in the groundwater chemical index system-natural evolution (Fl),industrial production (F2) and agricultural pro-duction (F3)—account for 76.05% of the cumulative variance contribution rate,with their comprehensive contri-butions being 57.44%,27.62% and 14.94%,respectively. The results indicate that the measured concentrations of groundwater chemical index closely match the predicted concentrations derived from the absolute factor score and multiple linear regression model,demonstrating the method's effectiveness in analyzing the chemical factors influencing groundwater.

关键词

无锡市/浅层地下水/影响因子解析/因子分析/绝对因子得分/回归分析

Key words

Wuxi City/shallow groundwater/influence factors/factors analysis/absolute factor score/mul-tiple linear regression

引用本文复制引用

出版年

2024
华东地质
中国地质调查局南京地质调查中心

华东地质

影响因子:0.523
ISSN:2096-1871
段落导航相关论文