湖北理工学院学报2025,Vol.41Issue(1) :43-46.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2095-4565.2025.01.008

GM(1,1)模型在软土深基坑变形预测中的应用

Application of GM(1,1)Model in Deformation Prediction of Deep Foundation Pits in Soft Soil

刘旭轩 张定邦 郑强 李钊 董泽中
湖北理工学院学报2025,Vol.41Issue(1) :43-46.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2095-4565.2025.01.008

GM(1,1)模型在软土深基坑变形预测中的应用

Application of GM(1,1)Model in Deformation Prediction of Deep Foundation Pits in Soft Soil

刘旭轩 1张定邦 1郑强 2李钊 2董泽中2
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作者信息

  • 1. 湖北理工学院 土木建筑工程学院,湖北 黄石 435003
  • 2. 中铁七局集团武汉工程有限公司,湖北 武汉 430070
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摘要

灰色系统是在贫数据状态下进行数据预测的数学方法.文章以湖北省黄石市春湖小区安置房项目基坑工程为研究对象,建立了基坑周边冠梁沉降的GM(1,1)预测模型,对其分布和变化规律进行了预测,并与实测结果进行了对比分析.结果表明:预测结果与实测结果的相对误差在1.33%~10.95%之间,且相对误差率随着监测时间的增加而明显减小,满足相关规范对基坑监控预警预测精度的要求,可用于指导实际应用.

Abstract

The gray system is a mathematical method to predict the data in the state of poor data.In this pa-per,the research object is the foundation pit project of Chunhu resettlement house in Huangshi City,Hubei Province,based on which the GM(1,1)prediction model of foundation pit is built to predict distribution and the changing characteristics of crown beam settlement around it.The results show that the relative error be-tween the predicted and measured results is 1.33%~10.95%,and the relative error rate decreases with the monitoring time,which meets the requirements of the relevant specification for foundation pit monitoring and warning on construction prediction accuracy,and can be used to guide practical applications.

关键词

基坑变形/灰色系统/GM(1,1)模型/相对误差

Key words

deformation of foundation pit/gray system/GM(1,1)model/relative error

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出版年

2025
湖北理工学院学报
湖北理工学院

湖北理工学院学报

影响因子:0.434
ISSN:2095-4565
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