湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版)2024,Vol.25Issue(5) :18-26.DOI:10.13331/j.cnki.jhau(ss).2024.05.003

政策性农业保险提升了农业经济韧性吗?——基于完全成本保险和收入保险试点的准自然实验

Has policy-guided agricultural insurance improved the agricultural economic resilience?—Based on the quasi-natural experiment of full cost insurance and income insurance pilot

权天舒 李靖 张晖
湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版)2024,Vol.25Issue(5) :18-26.DOI:10.13331/j.cnki.jhau(ss).2024.05.003

政策性农业保险提升了农业经济韧性吗?——基于完全成本保险和收入保险试点的准自然实验

Has policy-guided agricultural insurance improved the agricultural economic resilience?—Based on the quasi-natural experiment of full cost insurance and income insurance pilot

权天舒 1李靖 2张晖1
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作者信息

  • 1. 南京林业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 南京 210037
  • 2. 中国农业大学 经济管理学院,北京 100083
  • 折叠

摘要

基于完全成本保险和收入保险试点的准自然实验,采用广义矩估计法测算中国农业经济韧性水平,并利用双重差分法实证分析政策性农业保险对农业经济韧性的影响及其作用机制.研究发现:中国农业经济韧性水平总体较高,呈波动趋稳态势;政策性农业保险能够提升农业经济韧性,在一系列稳健性检验后结论依然成立;政策性农业保险通过促进农业规模经营、调整农业种植结构、提升农业全要素生产率,赋能农业经济韧性;在农业自然风险高与外贸依存度高的地区,政策性农业保险对农业经济韧性的影响更为显著.

Abstract

Based on a quasi-natural experiment of full-cost insurance and income insurance pilot scheme,the resilience level of China's agricultural economy has been measured by adopting the generalized method of moments,and the influence of policy-guided agricultural insurance on the agricultural economic resilience and its mechanism have been analyzed empirically by utilizing the method of difference-in-difference.The research has found that the overall resilience level of China's agricultural economy is relatively high,showing a fluctuating trend.Policy-guided agricultural insurance could improve the agricultural economic resilience,and a series of robustness tests prove that the conclusion still stands.Policy-guided agricultural insurance could enhance the agricultural economic resilience through promoting large-scale agricultural operations,adjusting agricultural planting structures,and boosting agricultural total factor productivity.The impact of policy-guided agricultural insurance on agricultural economic resilience is more significant in areas with high agricultural natural risk and high dependence on foreign trade.

关键词

政策性农业保险/农业经济韧性/双重差分法

Key words

policy-guided agricultural insurance/agricultural economic resilience/difference-in-difference

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基金项目

国家社会科学基金项目(21BGL167)

国家社会科学基金项目(21&ZD101)

江苏省高校"青蓝工程"中青年学术带头人项目(2023-27)

出版年

2024
湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版)
湖南农业大学

湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.921
ISSN:1009-2013
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