北极海冰模型研究进展综述
Summary on Arctic sea ice models
孙芳 1吴宝勤 2吴云帆 2张永莉2
作者信息
- 1. 海军研究院,北京 100161
- 2. 海军研究院,天津 300061
- 折叠
摘要
海冰模式是目前国内外北极海冰历史重建、机制分析与预测未来演变的重要工具.通过比较主流海冰模式的关键参数化方案设置的异同,包括主要的热力学与动力学过程、海冰厚度再分布归纳了当前海冰模式的改进情况,回顾了海冰模式结果对于北极关键区域季节变化、年际差异与极端事件成因分析所提供的支持;最后,提炼出海冰模式未来发展的方向,为我国北极海冰模式构建与发展、北极海冰快速变化机制研究和北极海冰精细化预报工作提供参考.
Abstract
The sea ice model is currently an important tool for reconstruction of Arctic sea ice history,mechanism analysis and prediction of future evolution.This paper compares the similarities and differences in the key parameterization schemes of the mainstream sea ice models,including the main thermodynamic and dynamic processes,and sea ice thickness redistribution.It further summarizes the improvements of current sea ice models and reviews the support provided by sea ice modelling results for the analysis of seasonal variability,interannual variability,and the mechanisms of extreme events in key regions of the Arctic.Finally,the directions of future development of the sea ice models are refined to provide reference for the construction and development of the Arctic sea ice model in China,the study of the mechanisms of rapid change of Arctic sea ice,and the refinement of Arctic sea ice forecasting.
关键词
北冰洋海冰/海冰模式/参数化方案/海冰热力学过程/海冰动力学过程/机制分析Key words
Arctic sea ice/sea ice model/parameterization scheme/sea ice thermodynamic processes/sea ice dynamic processes/mechanism analyses引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据