The content of conventional sea wave forecasts is a paragraph of text,and it is impossible to validate the forecasts using observational values.On the basis of broadly investigation of sea wave forecasting products released by national ocean prediction centers,this paper introduces a processing rule for the conventional sea wave forecasts and its verification and evaluation methods after applying test and validation repeatedly to the forecasting results against the observational values provided by the East China Sea Forecasting and Disaster Reduction Center,Ministry of Natural Resources.Through the discussion and demonstration of the existing problems,the key technical difficulties in the quantitative verification and evaluation have been settled,such as setting of the minimum sea wave height value,relationship between the observational location and the forecasting area,and selection of multi-point observational values in an area.The rationality and applicability of the verification and evaluation rules have been improved.
关键词
海洋环境预报/海浪预报质量/检验评估/定量
Key words
marine environmental forecasts/wave forecasts quality/verification and evaluation/quantitative
维普
万方数据