首页|数字贸易发展对经济韧性的影响:基于中国大陆30个省市面板数据的实证研究

数字贸易发展对经济韧性的影响:基于中国大陆30个省市面板数据的实证研究

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数字贸易发展对经济韧性有着重要影响.为了实证检验数字贸易发展对经济韧性的影响程度,选取中国大陆30个省市2011-2021年的面板数据,采用指标体系和熵权法对经济韧性及反映数字贸易发展的解释变量进行测算,构建研究模型并采用岭回归方法,从全国层面、南北区域层面来研究数字贸易各个方面对经济韧性的影响.结果表明:全国层面,数字贸易各方面对经济韧性存在显著影响,影响程度由大到小的排序为产业数字化及数字产业化规模、物流水平、互联网环境、数字化技术水平、贸易潜力;南北区域层面,北方区域互联网环境对经济韧性没有明显效应,南方区域贸易潜力对经济韧性没有明显效应.基于此,提出从扩大产业数字化与数字产业化规模,补齐区域短板提升物流整体水平,强化数字技术赋能经济,以及发挥数字贸易潜力优势等方面促进经济韧性增强的建议.
Impact of digital trade development on economic resilience:Empirical study based on panel data from 30 provinces and municipalities in Chinese mainland
The development of digital trade has a significant impact on economic resilience.In order to verify the degree of this impact empirically,evaluation index systems of economic resilience and digital trade were constructed with the help of entropy method,by selecting panel data of 30 provinces and municipalities in Chinese mainland from 2011 to 2021,so as to explore the impact of various aspects of digital trade on economic resilience at the national level,and at the regional level in southern and northern China by means of and ridge regression.The empirical results show that at the national level,all aspects of digital trade have a significant impact on economic resilience,and the ranking of impact degree from large to small is industrial digitalization and digital industrialization scale,logistics level,Internet environment,digital technology level,and trade potential;at the regional level,in northern China,the Internet environment has no obvious effect on economic resilience,while the trade potential has no obvious effect on economic resilience in southern China.Therefore,relevant suggestions are proposed to enhance economic resilience from different aspects of digital trade,including expanding the scale of industrial digitization and digital industrialization,filling regional gaps,improving the overall level of logistics,strengthening digital technology to empower the economy,and leveraging the potential advantages of digital trade.

digital tradeeconomic resiliencepanel dataridge regression

叶峥、陈勇、彭仕璇、狄柯辰

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浙大城市学院商学院 ,杭州 310015

浙江大学经济学院 ,杭州 310007

中国农业银行台州路桥支行 ,浙江台州 318050

数字贸易 经济韧性 面板数据 岭回归

国家社会科学基金项目浙大城市学院校科研培育基金交叉预研项目

23BJL027X-202213

2024

浙江科技学院学报
浙江科技学院

浙江科技学院学报

影响因子:0.497
ISSN:1671-8798
年,卷(期):2024.36(2)
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