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全球主要COVID-19数据来源间一致性及自身周期性研究进展

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科学识别和解释不同COVID-19数据间一致性和周期性特征是准确了解COVID-19流行规律与制定防控措施的基础.本研究通过系统检索和梳理相关研究文献发现:(1)现有一致性研究集中于WHO、约翰霍普金斯大学等机构发布的全球COVID-19疫情数据,而且不同数据来源在数据收集、统计指标与数据共享、同一指标数值等方面不尽相同;(2)COVID-19疫情数据存在明显的周期性,现有的相关研究集中在发达国家,不同国家与地区间的疫情周期长短存在较大差异,有3.5 d、5.0 d、7.0 d和62.0 d等不同模式.关于周期性产生原因目前有样本检测和数据报告、生物学因素、社会因素、环境因素多种解释.综合来看,当前缺乏不同COVID-19数据来源间一致性的定量研究,暂未有研究评估数据一致性在不同时间和不同国家间的差异,也缺乏研究探讨全球不同国家的COVID-19疫情周期性差异.
Advances in consistency and periodicity across major global CO VID-19 data sources
Using rigorous methods to identify and interpret the consistency and periodicity of multi-source COVID-19 epidemic data is the basis of properly interpreting the epidemic characteristics of the COVID-19 epidemic and developing prevention and control measures.By conducting a systematic review,we found that:(1)the existing literature on consistency studies mainly focused on global COVID-19 epidemic data released by the WHO and Johns Hopkins University,revealing inconsistent across various aspects of data collection,statistical indicators,data sharing,as well as the value of the same indicators;(2)each kind COVID-19 epidemic data had typical periodicity.Existing studies about periodicity of COVID-19 epidemic data were primarily from developed countries.The length of epidemic periodicity varied greatly across countries and regions,with a varying periodicity of 3.5 days,5.0 days,7.0 days,and 62.0 days.Researchers linked the periodicity of COVID-19 epidemic to multiple factors,including sample testing,data reporting,biological,social,and environmental factors.To summarize,there were no studies that quantified the consistency across major COVID-19 data sources,examined differences in data consistency over time and across countries,and explored the periodicity variations of COVID-19 epidemic across countries around the world currently.

COVID-19 epidemicDataConsistencyPeriodicity

刘涵、宗慧莹、胡国清

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中南大学湘雅公共卫生学院,长沙 410078

COVID-19流行 数据 一致性 周期性

国家社会科学基金重大项目

20&ZD120

2024

中华疾病控制杂志
中华预防医学会 安徽医科大学

中华疾病控制杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.862
ISSN:1674-3679
年,卷(期):2024.28(1)
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