中华疾病控制杂志2024,Vol.28Issue(2) :241-248.DOI:10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2024.02.018

倾向性评分与疾病风险评分匹配对已测量混杂因素的控制效果评价

Evaluation of the control effect for measured confounders between propensity score matching and disease risk score matching

卢珍珍 赵恩慧 黄丽红
中华疾病控制杂志2024,Vol.28Issue(2) :241-248.DOI:10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2024.02.018

倾向性评分与疾病风险评分匹配对已测量混杂因素的控制效果评价

Evaluation of the control effect for measured confounders between propensity score matching and disease risk score matching

卢珍珍 1赵恩慧 2黄丽红1
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作者信息

  • 1. 复旦大学附属中山医院生物统计室,上海 200032;复旦大学附属中山医院临床医学研究院临床研究中心,上海 200032
  • 2. 复旦大学公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学系,上海 200032
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摘要

目的 比较在组间倾向性评分(propensity score,PS)重叠较好和较差的场景下应用PS和疾病风险评分(disease risk score,DRS)进行1:1匹配的效果,同时探索DRS匹配的最优卡钳值.方法 设置不同的试验组样本量占比、结局事件发生率和PS重叠情况,模拟6种场景比较PS和DRS匹配前后的协变量均衡性和处理效应估计偏差,并进行实例分析.结果 PS重叠较好的场景下,DRS重叠也较好,PS匹配优于DRS,PS匹配最优卡钳值为标准差的10%~20%,DRS匹配相对最优卡钳值为标准差的0.5%.在PS重叠较差的场景中,DRS重叠也变差,但DRS匹配优于PS,DRS匹配最优卡钳值为标准差的15%~20%.此外,PS和DRS匹配对协变量均衡性的改善效果与处理效应估计偏差相一致.结论 当PS重叠较好时,优选PS匹配;当PS重叠较差时,可选DRS,其最优卡钳值为标准差的15%~20%.在实际应用中,可根据匹配前后组间协变量均衡性指标的改善情况评价匹配效果.

Abstract

Objective To compare propensity score(PS)matching and disease risk score(DRS)matching in the scenarios of good PS overlap and poor PS overlap,and to investigate the optimal caliper width for DRS matching.Methods According to the different proportions of the test group and events as well as the different PS overlap situations,6 scenarios were simulated to compare the balance of covariables and the bias before and after PS matching or DRS matching,followed by analysis of an actual case.Results In the scenarios with good PS overlap,the DRS overlap was also good,and PS matching was more accurate than DRS matching.The optimal caliper width was found to be 10%-20%of the PS standard deviation(SD)for PS matching,and the relativeoptimal caliper width was 0.5%of the DRS SD for DRS matching.In the scenarios with poor PS overlap,the DRS overlap was also poor,but the DRS matching was more accurate than PS matching.The optimal caliper width was found to be 15%-20%of the DRS SD.In addition,the improvement on the balance of covariates was consistent with the estimation bias of treatment effect.Conclusions When the overlap of PS is good,PS matching is preferred;when the overlap of PS is poor,DRS matching can be selected,and the optimal caliper width is 15%-20%of the DRS SD.In practical application,the control effect for measured a confounder can be evaluated according to the improvement on the covariable balance between groups.

关键词

倾向性评分/疾病风险评分/匹配/混杂偏倚

Key words

Propensity score/Disease risk score/Matching/Confounding bias

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金(82273733)

出版年

2024
中华疾病控制杂志
中华预防医学会 安徽医科大学

中华疾病控制杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.862
ISSN:1674-3679
参考文献量16
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