首页|2015-2022年甘肃省传染病流行特点及趋势

2015-2022年甘肃省传染病流行特点及趋势

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目的 分析2015-2022年甘肃省传染病发病死亡数据,了解甘肃省传染病流行特点及趋势,确定甘肃省防控重点.方法 利用Excel 2021软件、JPR 4.9.10软件计算传染病发病顺位、死亡顺位、病死率、发病率和死亡率的年度变化百分比(annual percent change,APC)、年平均变化百分比(average annual percent change,AAPC).通过Joinpoint回归模型分析传染病发病及死亡变化趋势.结果 2015-2022年甘肃省传染病发病670 992例,死亡1 127例,发病率为324.12/10万,死亡率为0.54/10万.发病顺位前5的疾病分别为其他感染性腹泻、肺结核、乙型病毒性肝炎(乙肝)、流行性感冒、手足口病;死亡顺位前2的疾病分别为艾滋病和肺结核.2019-2022年传染病发病和2017-2022年传染病死亡呈下降趋势,APC(95%CI)分别为-16.0%(-25.4%~-5.3%)和-9.1%(-13.7%~-1.2%),其余时间段发病、死亡趋势变化不明显.肺结核、甲型病毒性肝炎(甲肝)等10种疾病发病率呈下降趋势,急性出血性结膜炎发病率呈上升趋势;肺结核死亡率呈下降趋势,艾滋病死亡率呈上升趋势.这些传染病中病死率最高的为鼠疫和狂犬病.结论 甘肃省传染病防控重点为其他感染性腹泻、肺结核、乙肝、流行性感冒、手足口病;同时还应重点关注死亡风险高的艾滋病与鼠疫和发病率上升的急性出血性结膜炎、布鲁氏菌病.
Epidemiological characteristics and trends of infectious diseases in Gansu province from 2015 to 2022
Objective This study analyzes infectious disease morbidity and mortality data in Gansu province from 2015 to 2022,aiming to comprehend the epidemiological characteristics and trends,as well as to determine prevention and control priorities.Methods We need Excel 2021 and JPR4.9 1.0 software to calculate morbidity ranks,mortality ranks,fatality rates,annual percentage change(APC)and annual average percentage change(A APC)in morbidity and morality rates of the infectious diseases.We also analyzed the trend in infectious diseases morbidity and mortality using the Toinpoint regression model.Results From 2015 to 2022,Gansu province reported 670 992 cases of infectious diseases and 1 127 deaths,with an incidence rate of 324.12 per 100 000 and a mortality rate of 0.54 per 100 000 cases.The top five diseases in morbidity were infectious diarrhea,tuberculosis,hepatitis B,influenza,and hand-foot-mouth disease;the top two in mortality were AIDS and tuberculosis.Morbidity(2019-2022)and mortality(2017-2022)showed a decreasing trend,with APC values of-16(-25.4,-5.3)and-9.1(-13.7,-1.2).No significant changes in the incidence or mortality trends were observed dur-ing the remaining periods.Ten diseases,including tuberculosis and hepatitis A,exhibited decreasing in-cidence,while acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis showed an upward trend.Tuberculosis deaths declined,but AIDS-related deaths increased.Plague and rabies had the highest mortality rates.Conclusions In Gansu province,prevention and control efforts should focus on infectious diarrhea,tuberculosis,hepatitis B,influenza,and hand-foot-mouth disease.Special attention is needed for the high mortality risk of AIDS and plague,as well as the incidence of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis and brucellosis.

Infectious diseaseMorbidityDeathTrends

康小娟、王晓辉、丁中航

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甘肃中医药大学公共卫生学院,兰州 730000

甘肃省肿瘤医院,甘肃省医学科学研究院,兰州 730050

传染病 发病率 死亡率 变化趋势

甘肃省基础研究计划软科学专项

23JRZA341

2024

中华疾病控制杂志
中华预防医学会 安徽医科大学

中华疾病控制杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.862
ISSN:1674-3679
年,卷(期):2024.28(4)
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