首页|二氧化氮长期暴露与缺血性脑卒中患者死亡的关联及绿地暴露的效应修饰研究

二氧化氮长期暴露与缺血性脑卒中患者死亡的关联及绿地暴露的效应修饰研究

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目的 探讨二氧化氮(nitrogen dioxide,NO2)长期暴露与缺血性脑卒中(ischemic stroke,IS)患者死亡风险之间的关联以及绿地暴露的效应修饰作用.方法 选取山东省NO2浓度相对较高的西北地区4个区(县)2013-2019年的IS病例进行了纵向研究,患者被随访至2019年12月31日或死亡日期.采用时间依赖Cox比例风险回归模型,评估NO2每增加1个IQR,IS患者因脑卒中死亡的ⅡR及其95%CI.利用限制性三次立方样条函数拟合NO2长期暴露与IS患者死亡风险的暴露-反应关系.通过纳入NO2与归一化差异植被指数水平的交互项探究绿地暴露的效应修饰作用.最后进行了一系列敏感性分析,并基于不同性别、年龄组以及城乡进行了亚组分析.结果 研究共包含46 252名IS患者,4个区(县)2013-2019年NO2的年平均浓度为(43.30± 1.32)μg/m3.研究显示,NO2每升高1个IQR,IS患者死亡的HR值(95%CI)为1.22(1.15~1.29).暴露-反应关系显示NO2长期暴露与IS患者的死亡风险呈非线性关系(P非线性<0.001).交互作用结果发现NO2与绿地暴露之间存在交互作用(P非线性=0.005),且NO2对IS患者死亡的影响在绿地暴露程度较高的地区最弱(HR=1.19,95%CI:1.12~1.26,P<0.001).不同性别、不同年龄组以及农村地区,同样发现NO2长期暴露与绿地暴露存在交互作用(均P<0.05).结论 NO2长期暴露是IS患者死亡风险的危险因素,且绿地暴露可能缓解这种危害效应.
Association of long-term nitrogen dioxide exposure with death in ischemic stroke patients and effect modification of greenness
Objective This study aimed to investigate the association between long-term nitro-gen dioxide(NO2)exposure and the risk of death in ischemic stroke(ischemic stroke,IS)patients,as well as the modification of greenness on this association.Methods We conducted a longitudinal study on IS cases in 4 districts/counties in the northwest region of Shandong Province with relatively high NO2 con-centrations from 2013 to 2019.Participants were followed up until December 31,2019,or the date of death.A time-dependent Cox proportional risk model was used to assess the hazard ratio(HR)and its 95%CI for stroke-related death in IS patients per IQR increase in NO2.The exposure-response relation-ship between long-term NO2 exposure and the risk of IS patient mortality was fitted using a restricted cubic spline function.We then explored the effect modification role of greenness exposure by incorporating an interaction term between NO2 and normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)levels.Finally,we con-ducted a series of sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses based on different genders,age groups,and urban/rural areas.Results A total of 46 252 IS patients were included in the study and the annual mean concentration of NO2 in the 4 districts/counties from 2013 to 2019 was(43.30±1.32)μg/m3.The re-sults showed that the HR of death in IS patients were 1.22(1.15-1.29)for each IQR increase in NO2.The exposure-response relationship showed a non-linear relationship between long-term NO2 exposure and the risk of IS patient mortality.The results of the interaction were found to be statistically significant(Pnolinear=0.005)with HRs of 1.23(1.17-1.30),1.21(1.15-1.28),and 1.19(1.12-1.26)for each IQR of NO2 rise in patients with IS at the low,middle,and high levels of exposure to the greenness,respectively.Interaction effects between long-term NO2 exposure and greenness exposure was found across different gender and age groups,as well as in rural areas(all P<0.05).Conclusions Long-term expo-sure to NO2 is considered a risk factor for mortality in IS patients,while greenness may potentially miti-gate this detrimental effect.

Ischemic strokeNitrogen dioxideGreennessLongitudinal study

赵珂、胡杨、张珮瑶、刘超、刘成榕、师春香、韦晶、张丙银、鹿子龙、郭晓雷、薛付忠、贾贤杰、芈静

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蚌埠医学院公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学教研室,蚌埠 233030

国家气象信息中心,北京 100081

马里兰大学大气与海洋科学系地球系统科学交叉研究中心,美国大学公园市20742

山东省疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病防制所,济南 250014

山东大学齐鲁医学院公共卫生学院生物统计学系,济南 250012

国家健康医疗大数据研究院,济南 250003

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缺血性脑卒中 二氧化氮 绿地暴露 纵向研究

安徽省高等学校自然科学研究项目研究生创新计划

KJ2021A0710Byycx22072

2024

中华疾病控制杂志
中华预防医学会 安徽医科大学

中华疾病控制杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.862
ISSN:1674-3679
年,卷(期):2024.28(5)