首页|内蒙古自治区5个典型城市可吸入颗粒物暴露对居民每日死亡的影响

内蒙古自治区5个典型城市可吸入颗粒物暴露对居民每日死亡的影响

The impact of inhalable particulate matter exposure on daily mortality among residents in five typical cities in Inner Mongolia

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目的 探讨内蒙古自治区5个典型城市可吸入颗粒物(inhalable particulate matter,PM10)暴露对居民每日死亡的影响,筛选敏感人群,为相关部门制定空气污染防护措施提供依据.方法 收集2017-2021年内蒙古自治区5个典型城市城区逐日气象资料、空气污染物浓度和居民死亡资料,采用二阶段统计分析策略(广义相加模型联合Meta分析),在控制气象因子和时间趋势等混杂因素的基础上构建时间序列模型,分析大气PM,.短期暴露对人群死亡的影响.结果 5个典型城市大气PM10日均浓度为(89.9±98.2)μg/m3,居民总死亡人数为126 401人.Meta分析显示,移动平均lag 0~2 d的PM1.暴露浓度每升高10 μg/m3,总死亡、男性、女性和循环系统疾病死亡风险分别升高0.16%(95%CI:0.01%~0.36%)、0.13%(95%CI:0.01%~0.25%)、0.23%(95%CI:0.09%~0.37%)和 0.21%(95%CI:0.08%~0.34%).结论 内蒙古自治区5个典型城市大气PM10短期暴露增大了当地居民非意外总死亡和循环系统疾病死亡的风险,女性死亡风险较高,不同地区死亡风险效应值不同.
Objective To investigate the influence of exposure to inhalable particulate matter(PM10)on daily mortality among residents in five representative cities in central and western Inner Mongolia,and dentify sensitive populations and provide a basis for relevant departments to formulate air pollution prevention measures.Methods We collected daily meteorological data,air pollutant concentra-tions,and resident mortality data from five typical urban areas in Inner Mongolia from 2017 to 2021.Using a two-stage statistical analysis strategy(generalized additive model combined with meta-analysis),we constructed a time series model while controlling for confounding factors such as meteorological condi-tions and temporal trends.We assessed the effects of short-term exposure to atmospheric PM10 on popula-tion mortality.Results During the research period,the daily average concentration of PM10 in the atmosphere of five typical cities was(89.9±98.2)pg/m3,with a total of 126 401 deaths among resi-dents.Meta analysis showed that for every increase in PM10(lag0-2)exposure concentration 10 μg/m3,the non-accidental total mortality,male,female,and circulatory system disease mortality increased by 0.16%(95%CI:0.01%-0.36%),0.13%(95%CI:0.01%-0.25%),0.23%(95%CI:0.09%-0.37%)and0.21%(95%CI:0.08%-0.34%),respectively.Conclusions Short-term exposure to atmospheric particulate matter PM10 in five typical cities in Inner Mongolia increases the risk of non-accidentaltotal mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality among local residents.Women are more sensitive than men.The effect values vary slightly in different regions.

Inhalable particulate matterPopulation deathsShort-term exposureSensitive people

魏娜娜、杨升美、张向楠、张晨光、李婧、李丽、殷明辉、范耀春、秦钰涵

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内蒙古自治区疾病预防控制中心环境卫生所,呼和浩特 010080

可吸入颗粒物 人群死亡 短期暴露 敏感人群

内蒙古自治区卫生健康科技计划项目

202201156

2024

中华疾病控制杂志
中华预防医学会 安徽医科大学

中华疾病控制杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.862
ISSN:1674-3679
年,卷(期):2024.28(7)