首页|内蒙古自治区5个典型城市可吸入颗粒物暴露对居民每日死亡的影响

内蒙古自治区5个典型城市可吸入颗粒物暴露对居民每日死亡的影响

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目的 探讨内蒙古自治区5个典型城市可吸入颗粒物(inhalable particulate matter,PM10)暴露对居民每日死亡的影响,筛选敏感人群,为相关部门制定空气污染防护措施提供依据.方法 收集2017-2021年内蒙古自治区5个典型城市城区逐日气象资料、空气污染物浓度和居民死亡资料,采用二阶段统计分析策略(广义相加模型联合Meta分析),在控制气象因子和时间趋势等混杂因素的基础上构建时间序列模型,分析大气PM,.短期暴露对人群死亡的影响.结果 5个典型城市大气PM10日均浓度为(89.9±98.2)μg/m3,居民总死亡人数为126 401人.Meta分析显示,移动平均lag 0~2 d的PM1.暴露浓度每升高10 μg/m3,总死亡、男性、女性和循环系统疾病死亡风险分别升高0.16%(95%CI:0.01%~0.36%)、0.13%(95%CI:0.01%~0.25%)、0.23%(95%CI:0.09%~0.37%)和 0.21%(95%CI:0.08%~0.34%).结论 内蒙古自治区5个典型城市大气PM10短期暴露增大了当地居民非意外总死亡和循环系统疾病死亡的风险,女性死亡风险较高,不同地区死亡风险效应值不同.
The impact of inhalable particulate matter exposure on daily mortality among residents in five typical cities in Inner Mongolia
Objective To investigate the influence of exposure to inhalable particulate matter(PM10)on daily mortality among residents in five representative cities in central and western Inner Mongolia,and dentify sensitive populations and provide a basis for relevant departments to formulate air pollution prevention measures.Methods We collected daily meteorological data,air pollutant concentra-tions,and resident mortality data from five typical urban areas in Inner Mongolia from 2017 to 2021.Using a two-stage statistical analysis strategy(generalized additive model combined with meta-analysis),we constructed a time series model while controlling for confounding factors such as meteorological condi-tions and temporal trends.We assessed the effects of short-term exposure to atmospheric PM10 on popula-tion mortality.Results During the research period,the daily average concentration of PM10 in the atmosphere of five typical cities was(89.9±98.2)pg/m3,with a total of 126 401 deaths among resi-dents.Meta analysis showed that for every increase in PM10(lag0-2)exposure concentration 10 μg/m3,the non-accidental total mortality,male,female,and circulatory system disease mortality increased by 0.16%(95%CI:0.01%-0.36%),0.13%(95%CI:0.01%-0.25%),0.23%(95%CI:0.09%-0.37%)and0.21%(95%CI:0.08%-0.34%),respectively.Conclusions Short-term exposure to atmospheric particulate matter PM10 in five typical cities in Inner Mongolia increases the risk of non-accidentaltotal mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality among local residents.Women are more sensitive than men.The effect values vary slightly in different regions.

Inhalable particulate matterPopulation deathsShort-term exposureSensitive people

魏娜娜、杨升美、张向楠、张晨光、李婧、李丽、殷明辉、范耀春、秦钰涵

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内蒙古自治区疾病预防控制中心环境卫生所,呼和浩特 010080

可吸入颗粒物 人群死亡 短期暴露 敏感人群

内蒙古自治区卫生健康科技计划项目

202201156

2024

中华疾病控制杂志
中华预防医学会 安徽医科大学

中华疾病控制杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.862
ISSN:1674-3679
年,卷(期):2024.28(7)