首页|2006-2022年不同诊疗指南下安徽省HIV感染者和AIDS患者生存分析

2006-2022年不同诊疗指南下安徽省HIV感染者和AIDS患者生存分析

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目的 比较安徽省人类免疫缺陷病毒(human immunodeficiency virus,HIV)感染者和艾滋病(acquired immune deficiency syndrome,AIDS)患者(简称HIV/AIDS患者)在不同《艾滋病诊断与治疗指南》(简称《指南》)下的生存率,并探讨生存时间的影响因素.方法 基于安徽省2006-2022年HIV/AIDS患者的回顾性队列研究,根据《指南》发布时间将整个研究阶段分为5个时期.采用Life-table法和Cox比例风险回归模型分析HIV/AIDS患者生存率和生存时间的影响因素.结果 共纳入25 334名研究对象,其中83.51%为男性,68.76%诊断年龄>30~<60岁,49.70%居住在皖北地区.5个时期的1年生存率(分别为95%、95%、97%、97%和96%)的差异有统计学意义(x2=46.180,P<0.001);前4个时期的2年累计生存率(分别为93%、94%、95%和95%)的差异有统计学意义(x2=17.103,P<0.001).Cox比例风险回归模型显示,在影响HIV/AIDS患者死亡风险的因素中,女性是男性的0.654(95%CI:0.588~0.727,P<0.001)、≥60岁组者是低年龄组者的4.665倍(95%CI:3.930~5.539,P<0.001)、未婚者是已婚者的 1.555 倍(95%CI:1.382~1.750,P<0.001)、初中以上文化程度是小学的0.756(95%CI:0.688~0.831,P<0.001)、同性传播是异性传播的0.586(95%CI:0.524~0.656,P<0.001)、高水平CD4+T淋巴细胞(简称CD4)计数是低水平的0.385(95%CI:0.329~0.451,P<0.001).结论 随着中国《指南》的更新,HIV/AIDS患者生存率呈上升趋势.
Survival analysis of HIV/AIDS in Anhui among different AIDS diagnosis and treatment guide-lines,2006-2022
Objective This study aims to compare the survival rates of HIV infected and AIDS patients(HIV/AIDS)in Anhui Province under different versions of Guidelines for Diagnosis and Treatment of AIDS,and explore the factors influencing survival time.Methods Based on a retrospective cohort study of HIV/AIDS in Anhui Province from 2006 to 2022,the study period was divided into five phases according to the publication dates of the Guidelines.The Life-table method and Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze survival rates and factors influencing survival time.Results A total of 25 334 participants were included,of whom 83.51%were male,68.76%were aged of diagnosis>30-<60 years,and 49.70%resided in northern Anhui Province.The one-year survival rates across the five periods(95%,95%,97%,97%,and 96%)showed significant differences(x2=46.180,P<0.001).Similarly,the two-year survival rates for the first four periods(93%,94%,95%,and 95%)also exhibited significant differences(x2=17.103,P<0.001).Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed the following factors influencing HIV/AIDS mortality risk,females had 0.654 times lower risk than males(95%CI:0.588-0.727,P<0.001).Individuals aged over 60 years had 4.665 times higher risk compared to younger individuals(95%CI:3.930-5.539,P<0.001).Unmar-ried individuals had 1.555 times higher risk than married individuals(95%CI:1.382-1.750,P<0.001).Those with education above primary school had 0.756 times lower risk compared to those with primary education(95%CI:0.688-0.831,P<0.001).Homosexual transmission was associated with 0.586 times lower risk than heterosexual transmission(95%CI:0.524-0.656,P<0.001).Additional-ly,higher CD4+T lymphocyte(CD4)counts were associated with 0.385 times lower risk compared to lower counts(95%CI:0.329-0.451,P<0.001).Conclusions With the updates to China's Guide-lines,the survival rate of HIV/AIDS has shown an upward trend.

Human immunodeficiency virusAntiretroviral therapySurvival analysis

郭启胜、叶永胜、王阳光、宋金玲、高萌、戴色莺、张进、范引光

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安徽医科大学公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学系,合肥 230032

安徽省疾病预防控制中心艾滋病防治科,合肥 230601

人类免疫缺陷病毒 抗病毒治疗 生存分析

2024

中华疾病控制杂志
中华预防医学会 安徽医科大学

中华疾病控制杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.862
ISSN:1674-3679
年,卷(期):2024.28(12)