首页|2012-2022年深圳市其它感染性腹泻流行特征及时空聚集性影响因素

2012-2022年深圳市其它感染性腹泻流行特征及时空聚集性影响因素

扫码查看
目的 分析深圳市其它感染性腹泻的流行病学特征及时空聚集性,为全市疫情防控工作提供参考依据.方法 采用描述性流行病学方法分析2012-2022年深圳市其它感染性腹泻流行病学特征,采用空间自相关分析其时空聚集性特征.结果 2012-2022年深圳市共报告其它感染性腹泻396 302例,年均发病率为273.84/10万;男女发病率性别比为1.40∶1.00;病例主要是<3岁散居儿童;呈冬季高峰;龙岗区发病率连续6年居深圳市各区首位,年均发病率为359.24/10万;地区分布差异较大,空间自相关分析显示2017-2022年存在空间聚集性(Z=1.872~3.901,P<0.05)且每年均存在"高-高"聚集区,时空扫描结果与空间相关分析结果基本一致,主集群主要涉及8个辖区,聚集时间均出现在冬季高峰时段;病例报告数随城市流动人口比例的增加而上升,随城市人均面积的增加呈下降趋势.结论 2012-2022年深圳市其它感染性腹泻年平均发病率高于同时期全国发病率的平均水平.发病高峰主要在冬季,病例主要分布于<3岁散居儿童,发病率和流动人口占比及人口密度呈正相关,地区间存在时空聚集性.
Epidemiological characteristics and influencing factors of spatiotemporal clustering of other infec-tious diarrhea in Shenzhen,2012-2022
Objective Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of other infec-tious diarrhea in Shenzhen city,as a reference for the epidemic prevention and control work.Methods Descriptive epidemiological methods to analyze the epidemiological characteristics of other infectious diar-rhea in Shenzhen from 2012 to 2022,spatial autocorrelation analysis was used to analyze their spatiotem-poral clustering features.Results From 2012 to 2022,Shenzhen documented a cumulative total of 396 302 cases of infectious diarrhea at an average annual incidence rate of approximately 273.84 per 100 000 individuals.The male-to-female case ratio stood at 1.40∶1.00 and predominantly affected chil-dren under three years old residing in dispersed households.Winter marked as its seasonal peak.Long-gang District consistently exhibited the highest incidence rates among Shenzhen's districts over six succes-sive years,reaching an annual incidence rate of 359.24 per 100 000 individuals.Significant geographic disparities were observed.Spatial autocorrelation analyses revealed clustered patterns(Z=1.872-3.901,P<0.05)during the period from 2017 to 2022,demonstrating"high-high"clusters annually.Consistent outcomes emerged trom spatial scanandcorrelationanalyses,involving eight main district clusters all coin-ciding with winter peaks.Reported casenumbers correlated positively with urban migrant proportions while negatively with urban population densities.Conclusions From 2012 to 2022,the average annual inci-dence rate of other infectious diarrheal diseases in Shenzhen exceeds the national average for the corre-sponding period.The incidence peaks primarily during the winter season,with the majority of cases occur-ring among children under the age of three who are not enrolled in daycare.There is a positive correlation between the incidence rate and both the proportion of the migrant population and population density.Addi-tionally,certain districts exhibit notable spatiotemporal clustering.

Other infectious diarrheaEpidemiological characteristicsSpatiotemporal aggregation

熊华威、朱远发、程雁鹏、张佳、路滟、叶燕芬、吕秋莹、张振、陈志高

展开 >

深圳市疾病预防控制中心传染病预防控制所,深圳 518055

云浮市疾病预防控制中心传染病预防控制科,云浮 527300

广东省现场流行病学培训项目,广州 511430

其它感染性腹泻 流行病学特征 时空聚集性

2024

中华疾病控制杂志
中华预防医学会 安徽医科大学

中华疾病控制杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.862
ISSN:1674-3679
年,卷(期):2024.28(12)