In order to analyze the influencing factors of energy consumption in the construction industry,STIRPAT model was used,based on the relevant data of the construction industry in Jilin Province from 2007 to 2021,the ridge regression method was used for analysis.The results show that the urbanization rate,the total output value of the construction industry,the industrial structure and the energy intensity have a significant impact on the energy consumption of the construction industry,and the energy consumption will change by 1.785%,0.721%,-0.879%and 0.965%for every 1%change of each variable.According to the forecast of energy consumption of construction industry in Jilin Province,it was found that when the urbanization rate increases at a low speed,the energy intensity decreased at a high speed and the proportion of the second industry decreases at a low speed,the energy consumption of construction industry in Jilin province increased at a low speed,and the corresponding energy-saving countermeasures were put forward.
关键词
建筑业/能源消耗/STIRPAT模型/情景预测
Key words
construction industry/energy consumption/STIRPAT model/scenario prediction
维普
万方数据