基于决策实验分析法的船舶冰困预防研究
Precaution advice for ice trapped ship based on DEMATEL
王璐璐1
作者信息
- 1. 渤海船舶职业学院,辽宁葫芦岛 125000
- 折叠
摘要
冰困是影响冬季船舶航行安全的重要因素.为避免冰困突发应急处置中,不合理操作引发的严重安全问题,本文采用决策实验分析法全面分析我国辽东湾2012-2022年冰困数据,确定各要素间的因果关系和系统中的地位,得出冰困的本质层因素,并根据本质层因素与过渡层的关系,提出船舶冰困预防的技术建议和管理建议,以期为相关部门提供技术支持和决策依据.
Abstract
The sea ice trap is an important factor affecting the safety of navigation and other productive activities in this water.The study used DEMATEL to inverse the sea ice trap in the northern waters of Liaodong Bay during the winter of 2012-2022,and analysed the sea ice trap and its variation characteristics,including channels and anchorages.The results show that:tides are most severe during the bloom period,while attention should be paid to the increase of tides.It can be seen that the ice trap characteristics of the northern waters of Liaodong Bay and navigable waters can provide an important decision basis for the traffic organization and risk prevention in the waters.
关键词
决策实验分析法/冰困/预防Key words
DEMATEL/ice trap/precaution引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据