首页|基于衰弱指数对老年冠心病患者出院半年内不良事件的预测研究

基于衰弱指数对老年冠心病患者出院半年内不良事件的预测研究

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目的 探究衰弱指数对老年冠心病患者出院半年内不良事件的预测价值。方法 选取 2020 年 1 月~2022 年1 月期间在首都医科大学附属北京积水潭医院就诊并确诊为冠心病的 184 例老年患者,所有患者进行衰弱指数评估,并在出院后进行 6 个月的随访,按照是否衰弱分为衰弱组、非衰弱组。通过查阅患者的门诊及住院记录,以及电话随访,追踪记录患者 6 个月内的再住院情况、全因死亡、再发急性心肌梗死及大出血情况。结果 184 例患者中,96 例衰弱指数(0。68±0。12),88 例衰弱指数(0。14±0。02),衰弱发生率 52。17%。衰弱组 96 例、非衰弱组 88 例,两组患者年龄、性别、体质量指数(BMI)、吸烟史、饮酒史、高血压、糖尿病和冠心病方面差异无统计学意义(P>0。05)。而衰弱组中心功能Ⅰ级的患者占 2%,Ⅱ级的患者占 60。4%,Ⅲ级的患者占 27。1%,Ⅳ级的患者占 10。4%。非衰弱组中心功能Ⅰ级的患者占 13。6%,Ⅱ级的患者占 62。5%,Ⅲ级的患者占 20。5%,Ⅳ级的患者占3。4%。两组患者间心功能分级比较差异有统计学意义(χ2=5。863,P=0。017),其中Ⅰ级和Ⅳ级的比例在衰弱组中较高。两组患者间并发症比较差异无统计学意义(P>0。05)。衰弱组有 9 例(9。38%)患者发生再发急性心肌梗死,4 例(4。17%)发生大出血,8 例(8。33%)发生全因死亡,3 例(3。12%)患者需要再次住院。两组大出血、全因死亡、再住院次数比较差异有统计学意义(χ2=4。990、3。990、3。260、6。356,P<0。05)。logistic回归分析发现,衰弱指数是老年冠心病患者6 个月内再住院、全因死亡、急性心肌梗死、大出血的独立预测因素(P<0。05)。结论 衰弱指数与老年冠心病患者6 个月内再住院、全因死亡、急性心肌梗死、大出血方面显著相关,是其独立预测因素。临床对于此类老年冠心病出院后,仍应重视对衰弱患者的管理和监护,专门针对冠心病患者的衰弱指数研究,并对患者予以特定的康复训练、营养支持等,以保障患者的整体健康和生活质量。
Prediction study of frailty index on adverse events in elderly patients with coronary heart disease six months after discharge
Objective This study aims to explore the predictive value of the frailty index on adverse events in elderly patients with coronary heart disease six months after discharge.Methods A total of 184 elderly patients diagnosed with coronary heart disease were included in the study from January 2020 to January 2022.The patients were divided into two groups:a non-frail group and a frail group,according to their Fried frailty criteria.The follow-up period lasted for 6 months after discharge.The rehospitalization rate,all-cause mortality,acute myocardial infarction,and major bleeding events were recorded through outpatient and inpatient records and telephone interviews.Results A total of 96 patients were classified as frail(52.17%)with a frailty index of(0.68±0.12),while 88 patients were non-frail(47.83%)with a frailty index of(0.14±0.02).There were no significant differences in age,gender,BMI,smoking history,drinking history,hypertension,diabetes,and coronary heart disease between the two groups(P>0.05).However,there was a significant difference in heart function between the two groups,with 96 patients in the frail group(2%in classⅠ,60.4%in classⅡ,27.1%in classⅢ,and 10.4%in classⅣ)and 88 patients in the non-frail group(13.6%in classⅠ,62.5%in classⅡ,20.5%in classⅢ,and 3.4%in classⅣ)(χ2=5.863,P=0.017).There were no significant differences in the incidence of common complications between the two groups(P>0.05).During the 6-month follow-up period,9 patients(9.38%)in the frail group developed recurrent acute myocardial infarction,4 patients(4.17%)developed major bleeding,and 8 patients(8.33%)died.In the non-frail group,3 patients(3.12%)were rehospitalized due to recurrent acute myocardial infarction or major bleeding events,with a significant difference between the two groups(χ2=4.990,P=0.019).Logistic regression analysis showed that the frailty index was an independent predictor of rehospitalization,all-cause mortality,acute myocardial infarction,and major bleeding events within 6 months in elderly patients with coronary heart disease(P<0.05).Conclusion The frailty index is significantly associated with rehospitalization,all-cause mortality,acute myocardial infarction,and major bleeding events within 6 months in elderly patients with coronary heart disease and serves as an independent predictor for these outcomes.Therefore,it is important to identify and manage frailty in elderly patients with coronary heart disease after discharge from the hospital to provide targeted interventions such as rehabilitation training and nutritional support to improve overall health and quality of life.

Frailty indexElderlyCoronary heart diseaseAdverse eventsPrediction

葛佳、徐新娜、朱林、陈游州

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102208 北京,首都医科大学附属北京积水潭医院心内科

衰弱指数 老年 冠心病 不良事件 预测

国家自然科学基金

81700330

2024

中华保健医学杂志
中国人民解放军总后勤部卫生部保健局

中华保健医学杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.477
ISSN:1674-3245
年,卷(期):2024.26(2)
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