首页|研判我国玉米产销变化形势 确保产业链供应链稳定运行——兼析当前我国玉米供求存在的主要问题及风险点

研判我国玉米产销变化形势 确保产业链供应链稳定运行——兼析当前我国玉米供求存在的主要问题及风险点

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玉米是我国重要的主粮作物.近年来,玉米供求和价格波动较大,玉米市场供求缺口有所收窄,但仍处于紧平衡格局.本文从玉米生产种植、进口等供应端及饲用、工业加工等消费端入手,对2023年我国玉米供需情况及价格走势进行分析,并对当前我国玉米供求存在的主要问题展开研究,指出当前玉米市场存在供需关系平衡难度大、种植成本持续上涨挤压收益空间、价格易受资本炒作出现大幅波动、深加工产业链稳定运行压力加大等主要风险点.在此基础上,提出强化科技引领作用、提升大豆玉米带状复合种植效果、积极推进玉米种植"降成本"、支持玉米深加工业可持续发展、强化玉米市场监管等相关对策建议.
Analyzing the Changes in Production and Sales of Corn in China,Ensuring the Stable Operation of the Industry Chain and Supply Chain——Analyze the main problems and risks in the current supply and demand of corn in China
Corn is an important staple food in China.In recent years,corn supply,demand and price have fluctuated greatly,This article analyzes the supply and demand situation and price trends of corn in China in 2023,starting from the supply side such as corn production,planting,imports,and the consumption side including feed and industrial processing.It also conducts a study on the main issues in the current supply and demand of corn in China,pointing out challenges such as the difficulty in balancing supply and demand in the corn market,continuous increase in planting costs squeezing profit mar-gins,significant price fluctuations due to speculative trading,and increasing pressure on the stable operation of the deep pro-cessing industry chain.On this basis,this research puts forward relevant suggestions such as strengthening the leading role of science and technology,improving the effect of soybean and corn strip compound planting,actively promoting the reduction of corn planting costs,supporting the sustainable development of the corn deep processing industry,and strengthening corn market supervision.

cornrelationship between supply and demandcorn priceplanting costprofit of corn planting

张弓、韩静波、谷一凡

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国家发展改革委价格成本和认证中心

玉米 供求关系 玉米价格 种植成本 收益

2024

价格理论与实践
中国价格协会

价格理论与实践

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.54
ISSN:1003-3971
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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