首页|中国城市水价宏观经济影响因素的实证研究

中国城市水价宏观经济影响因素的实证研究

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合理的水价能够在保障供水效率的同时起到节约水资源与防治水污染的作用,使水资源发挥最大的经济、社会和环境效益.为了研究我国城市水价变动和宏观经济指标之间的数量关系,本文首先建立了一个包含水价供给和需求因素的理论模型,分析宏观经济因素影响水价变动的机制;然后,利用全国直辖市及省会城市的水价为样本,实证分析了水价和宏观经济因素之间的数量关联关系.实证结果表明,我国城市水价的重要影响因素主要包括人均实际GDP、常住人口、第二产业增加值比重、CPI,各个因素对于水价都有正向的显著影响.除了少数地区外,模型整体适用性较好.本文的研究结论有利于深入认识城市水价的主要影响因素,并对各城市供水定调价实践提供了参考依据.同时,也为构建公共事业定价的理论框架、指导公共事业服务价格的合理调整以及改革提供了理论借鉴和方法支持.
Empirical Study on the Macroeconomic Factors Influencing Urban Water Prices in China
Reasonable water price can play a role in saving water resources and preventing water pollution while ensuring water supply efficiency,enabling water resources to maximize economic,social and environmental benefits.In order to study the quantitative relationship between changes in urban water price and macroeconomic indicators in China,this paper first es-tablishes a theoretical model that includes factors of water price supply and demand,and analyzes the mechanism by which macroeconomic factors affect changes in water prices;Then,this article uses water prices from municipalities directly under the central government and provincial capital cities as samples to empirically analyze the quantitative correlation between water prices and macroeconomic factors.The empirical results indicate that the important influencing factors of urban water prices in China mainly include per capita real GDP,permanent population,the proportion of added value in the secondary industry,and CPI,all of which have a significant positive impact on water prices.Except for a few regions,the overall applicability of the model is reasonable.The research conclusion of this article is conducive to a deeper understanding of the main influencing fac-tors of urban water prices,and provides a reference basis for the practice of water supply pricing in various cities.At the same time,it also provides theoretical reference and methodological support for constructing a theoretical framework for pricing public utilities,guiding the reasonable adjustments and reforms of public service prices.

urban water pricenational economic indicatorsmacroeconomic influencing factorspricing simulation

娄峰、程远

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中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所

城市水价 国民经济指标 宏观经济影响因素 定价模拟

国家社会科学基金重点项目中国社科院经济大数据与政策评估实验室项目

23AJY021

2024

价格理论与实践
中国价格协会

价格理论与实践

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.54
ISSN:1003-3971
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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