首页|消费领域价格温和回升 生产领域价格降幅收窄——2024年1-5月物价形势分析与展望

消费领域价格温和回升 生产领域价格降幅收窄——2024年1-5月物价形势分析与展望

扫码查看
精准把握宏观形势,对实施精准宏观政策调控、着力扩大内需、稳预期、深入推进经济高质量发展具有重要意义.2024 年以来,我国物价水平温和回升,消费领域价格总体稳定,生产领域价格略有下降.1-5月,CPI同比上涨0.1%,PPI同比下降2.1%,低于政府工作报告提出的居民消费价格涨幅在3%左右调控目标.下半年,受宏观需求改善、通胀预期增强叠加美联储降息预期等因素影响,预期将持续推动物价企稳回升.基于此,建议加大宏观政策协同力度,积极扩大内需,做好猪肉、蔬菜等重点商品稳价工作,推进重点领域价格改革,形成共促经济高质量发展合力.
Moderate Rebound in Consumer Prices and Narrowing Decline in Production Prices——Analysis and prospect of price situation from January to May 2024
Precisely understanding the macroeconomic landscape is crucial for implementing targeted macroeconomic policy adjustments,bolstering domestic demand,anchoring expectations,and advancing high-quality economic growth.Since 2024,China has seen a moderate uptick in the price level,with consumer prices remaining stable and those in the production sector declining slightly.Between January and May,the CPI rose by 0.1%year-on-year,while the PPI dropped by 2.1%year-on-year,falling short of the government's target of keeping the consumer price increase around 3%.In the second half of the year,the combination of improved macro demand,heightened inflation expectations,and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is expected to further stabilize and boost prices.Consequently,it is recommended to enhance the synergy of macroeconomic policies,vigorously expand domestic demand,ensure price stability for essential commodities like pork and vegetables,advance price reforms in strategic sectors,and unleash a concerted push for high-quality economic growth.

macroeconomic situationCPIPPIprice forecastprice reform

张前荣、肖若石

展开 >

国家信息中心

宏观形势 CPI PPI 价格预测 价格改革

2024

价格理论与实践
中国价格协会

价格理论与实践

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.54
ISSN:1003-3971
年,卷(期):2024.(5)
  • 5