Research on Building a Prediction Model for Electricity Prices in Carbon Markets——Linkage analysis based on the data of carbon and electricity markets in Ningxia autonomous region
Analyzing the transmission mechanism of carbon prices on electricity prices and constructing a carbon market based electricity market price prediction model is conducive to promoting the coordinated development of the electricity car-bon market and helping China achieve its"dual carbon"goals.In the context of carbon trading,the power structure and form of the power grid will undergo significant changes,which in turn will affect the generation cost of the power grid and cause changes in electricity prices.This article studies the relationship between the"carbon-electricity"markets under the vision of carbon neutrality,and quantitatively analyzes the impact of the national carbon market on electricity prices.Based on a com-prehensive consideration of factors such as the impact of the carbon market and changes in the structure of new energy,an arti-ficial neural network method is used to predict the level of electricity prices.The research results indicate that with the increase of carbon prices in the carbon market,future electricity prices will show an upward trend.Based on this,electricity price fore-casting should be carried out in conjunction with the carbon market,and a"carbon-electricity"market price linkage mecha-nism should be established to better serve the achievement of the"dual carbon"goal.
NETL
NSTL
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