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巴西玉米生产成本收益及比较研究

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巴西已经成为中国最大的玉米进口来源地,且与美国农业高度竞争,对中国保障粮食安全具有重要现实意义.基于巴西官方发布的主产州玉米生产成本数据,本文对巴西玉米生产成本收益进行测算,并与中国、美国玉米生产成本收益进行比较.结果表明:第一,受农资价格大幅上涨影响,2019-2023 年,巴西玉米生产总成本从 2956.44 雷亚尔/公顷升至5963.7 雷亚尔/公顷,累计增长 101.72%,年均增速 19.18%.其中,农业机械、种子、农药、化肥等物质投入以及土地、折旧等项目是巴西玉米生产成本的主要构成.第二,在粮食价格上升的国际市场背景下,巴西玉米生产收益逐年增长,从 2019 年的 923.8 雷亚尔/公顷升至 2023 年的 1480.33 雷亚尔/公顷,累计增长 60.24%,年均增长 12.51%.第三,基于中国农产品成本收益测算指标体系,比较中国、美国、巴西玉米生产成本发现,巴西玉米对美国具有一定成本优势和利润优势.基于此建议:政府部门通过加强与巴西官方协作、鼓励国内企业深耕巴西粮源地、提高产业信息采集和发布能力,构建稳定的巴西玉米入华渠道,同时加速释放国内玉米生产降本增效潜力,多措并举保障中国玉米供应稳定.
Cost-Benefit Analysis of Maize Production in Brazil
Brazil has become China's largest source of maize imports,and forms a competitive relationship with the U-nited States,which is of great significance to ensure China's food security.Based on the official data of maize production,we measured the cost-benefit of maize production in Brazil,and compared with China and the United States.The results indicate that:First,due to a significant increase in agricultural input prices,from 2019 to 2023,the total production cost of corn in Brazil rose from 2,956.44 reais per hectare to 5,963.70 reais per hectare,with a cumulative increase of 101.72%and an average annual growth rate of 19.18%.The main components of Brazil's corn production costs include investments in agricultural machinery,seeds,pesticides,fertilizers,as well as land and depreciation.Second,against the backdrop of rising food prices in the interna-tional market,Brazil's corn production revenue has increased annually,rising from 923.80 reais per hectare in 2019 to 1,480.33 reais per hectare in 2023,a cumulative increase of 60.24%and an average annual growth of 12.51%.Third,based on the cost-benefit assessment index system for Chinese agricultural products,a comparison of corn production costs between China,the United States,and Brazil shows that Brazil has certain cost and profit advantages over the United States.Based on this,it is suggested that government departments strengthen cooperation with Brazilian authorities,encourage domestic enterprises to deepen their engagement in Brazil's grain sources,enhance the ability to collect and disseminate industrial information,establish stable channels for Brazilian corn imports to China,and simultaneously accelerate the release of potential for cost reduction and efficiency enhancement in domestic corn production to ensure a stable supply of corn in China through multiple measures.

brazilmaizecost-benefitfood security

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国家发展改革委价格成本和认证中心

巴西 玉米 成本收益 粮食安全

2024

价格理论与实践
中国价格协会

价格理论与实践

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.54
ISSN:1003-3971
年,卷(期):2024.(9)