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贸易摩擦影响中国双向FDI互动发展的规模效应分析

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以反倾销案件为指标衡量贸易摩擦,并利用2003-2020年制造业细分行业面板数据,采用动态GMM模型考察贸易摩擦通过规模效应对中国双向FDI互动发展水平的影响,并同时考察了不同时间段、不同双向FDI互动发展水平,不同经济规模下,贸易摩擦通过规模效应对双向FDI互动发展水平产生的影响.研究发现:第一,全行业的研究表明,贸易摩擦抑制了双向FDI互动发展水平,而贸易摩擦通过规模效应提升了双向FDI互动发展水平.第二,分时间阶段研究表明,金融危机爆发后至今贸易摩擦通过规模效应对双向FDI互动发展水平的促进更高.第三,分双向FDI互动发展水平的高低的研究表明,贸易摩擦通过规模效应促进高双向FDI发展水平行业的双向FDI互动发展水平,抑制低双向FDI互动发展水平行业的双向FDI互动发展水平.第四,分经济规模回归结果表明,贸易摩擦对高经济规模行业双向FDI互动发展水平的抑制影响更高.
Analysis of the scale effect of trade frictions affecting in-teractive development of China's two-way FDI
Using anti-dumping cases as indicators to measure trade friction,and using panel data of manufacturing industry segments from 2003 to 2020,this paper uses a dynamic GMM model to examine the impact of trade friction on the level of two-way FDI interaction development in China through scale effects.At the same time,it also examines the impact of trade friction on the level of two-way FDI interaction development through scale effects at different time periods,different levels of two-way FDI interaction development,and different eco-nomic scales.The results are as follows:First,industry-wide research shows that trade frictions inhibit the level of two-way FDI interaction,while trade frictions enhance the level of two-way FDI interaction through scale effects.Second,the time-stage study shows that since the outbreak of the financial crisis,trade frictions have promoted the level of two-way.FDI interaction through economies of scale.Third,the research on the level of two-way FDI interaction shows that trade friction promotes the level of two-way FDI interaction and develop-ment in industries with high levels of two-way FDI development through scale effect and inhibits the level of two-way FDI interaction and development in industries with low levels of two-way FDI development.Fourthly,the regression results based on economic scale show that trade frictions have a higher inhibitory effect on the level of two-way FDI interaction in industries with high economic scale.

anti-dumpingtwo-way FDItrade frictiondynamic GMM model

龚梦琪、王龙乐、王璐璇

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武汉工程大学法商学院,湖北武汉 430205

反倾销 双向FDI 贸易摩擦 动态GMM模型

教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金国家自然科学基金青年基金

20YJC79003172104189

2024

价格月刊
《价格月刊》杂志社

价格月刊

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.563
ISSN:1006-2025
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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