首页|财政分权对城市贸易经济韧性的影响及空间溢出效应研究

财政分权对城市贸易经济韧性的影响及空间溢出效应研究

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在中国经济迈入高质量发展的新阶段,面对复杂多变的外部环境,增强城市贸易经济韧性显得尤为重要.基于2006-2019年中国283个地级及以上城市面板数据,采用面板回归模型、中介效应检验方法及空间杜宾模型,探究财政分权对城市贸易经济韧性的影响及其内在机制.研究发现:财政分权能够显著增强城市贸易经济韧性,科技创新在其中起到了部分中介作用,上述结论经过稳健性检验后依然成立.空间杜宾效应分析表明,财政分权可通过空间溢出效应作用于邻近城市贸易经济韧性.进一步的异质性分析发现,财政分权对城市贸易经济韧性的促进作用存在区位和贸易经济韧性水平差异,在中西部地区及贸易经济韧性水平较低的城市中其作用效果越强.
Research on the impact of fiscal decentralization on the economic resilience of urban trade and spatial spillover effect
As China's economy enters a new stage of high-quality development,it is particularly important to en-hance the economic resilience of urban trade in face of complicated external environment.Based on the data of 283 cities at prefecture level and above in China from 2006 to 2019,this paper uses panel regression model,me-diation effect test method and spatial Dubin model to explore the impact of fiscal decentralization on economic resilience of urban trade and its internal mechanism.It is found that fiscal decentralization can significantly en-hance the economic resilience of urban trade,and scientific and technological innovation plays a partial interme-diary role.The above conclusion is still valid after robustness test.The analysis of spatial Dobbin effect shows that fiscal decentralization can affect the trade and economic resilience of neighboring cities through spatial spillover effect.Further heterogeneity analysis shows that there are regional and economic resilience differences in the role of fiscal decentralization in promoting economic resilience of urban trade,and the effect is stronger in the central and western regions and the cities with low trade and economic resilience levels.

fiscal decentralizationeconomic resilience of urban tradescientific and technological innovationspatial spillover effect

张雄、高志刚、韩延玲

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新疆财经大学统计与数据科学学院,新疆乌鲁木齐 830012

新疆科技学院,新疆库尔勒 841000

财政分权 城市贸易经济韧性 科技创新 空间溢出效应

国家社会科学基金项目新疆社会科学基金项目新疆社会经济统计与大数据应用研究中心项目新疆财经大学科研基金项目

21XGL02221BJY040XJEDU2022P071XJWT202301

2024

10.14076/j.issn.1006-2025.2024.02.07

价格月刊
《价格月刊》杂志社

价格月刊

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子：0.563
ISSN：1006-2025
年,卷(期)：2024.(2)
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