首页|扩大进口、消费需求与产业结构升级

扩大进口、消费需求与产业结构升级

扫码查看
进口是国内国际双循环的交汇点,扩大进口有助于夯实新发展格局的产业基础.基于2013-2021年省级面板数据,在理论分析的基础上,实证检验了扩大进口、消费需求与产业结构升级的内在关系.结果表明:整体而言,扩大进口战略能够显著促进产业结构升级,研究结论较为稳健;从经济发展和科技创新等角度看,扩大进口只对经济发展水平较高地区和科技发展水平较强地区的产业结构升级产生显著影响;优化消费结构和扩大消费规模是推动产业结构升级的重要途径;进一步进行调节效应检验后发现,金融发展在扩大进口助推产业结构升级的过程中具有正向调节作用,且对经济发展水平较高地区和科技发展水平较低地区的调节作用更强.根据研究结论,提出了相关对策建议.
Import expansion,consumer demand and the upgrading of industrial structure
Import is the meeting point of domestic and international dual circulation,and expanding import will help consolidate the industrial foundation of the new development pattern.Based on the provincial panel data from 2013 to 2021,and on the basis of theoretical analysis,this paper empirically tests the internal relationship between import expansion,consumer demand and the upgrading of industrial structure.The results show that on the whole,the import expansion strategy can significantly promote the upgrading of industrial structure,and the research conclusion is relatively stable;From the perspective of economic development and scientific and techno-logical innovation,expanding import only has a significant impact on the upgrading of industrial structure in re-gions with high economic development and strong scientific and technological development;Optimizing con-sumption structure and expanding consumption scale are important ways to promote the upgrading of industrial structure;After further testing the regulation effect,it is found that financial development has a positive regulation effect in the process of expanding imports to boost the upgrading of industrial structure,and has a stronger regu-lation effect on regions with higher levels of economic development and regions with lower levels of scientific and technological development.According to the research conclusion,this paper puts forward relevant countermea-sures and suggestions.

expanding importconsumer demandindustrial structurefinancial developmentintermediary effect

柳凯、冯伟

展开 >

东南大学成贤学院经济管理学院,江苏南京 210088

东南大学经济管理学院,江苏南京 211189

扩大进口 消费需求 产业结构 金融发展 中介效应

江苏省高等学校哲学社会科学研究一般项目国家社会科学基金一般项目江苏省社会科学基金重点项目

2020SJA221322BJL09822EYA002

2024

价格月刊
《价格月刊》杂志社

价格月刊

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.563
ISSN:1006-2025
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
  • 30