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国际碳排放权交易能否促进中国绿色产品出口?

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国际碳排放权交易作为主要的抑制温室气体排放的政策工具,涵盖了全球约23%的温室气体排放,并影响着全球贸易发展格局.从产品层面通过建立拓展的贸易引力模型,分析了国际碳排放权交易市场的建立对中国产品出口及其绿色转型的影响.经过交叠双重差分法等一系列内生性处理和稳健性检验后发现,各国(地区)碳排放权交易市场的建立会显著抑制中国企业产品总出口和高污染产品出口,同时显著促进了中国企业绿色产品出口,进而驱动了中国企业产品出口的绿色化转型;异质性检验结果发现,相对发展中国家(地区)而言,发达国家(地区)碳排放权交易市场的建立对中国高污染产品出口的抑制作用和绿色产品出口的驱动作用更强;国际碳排放权交易市场的建立对中国电力产品出口的抑制作用最强,而对清洁技术产品出口的促进作用最显著.
Can international carbon emissions trading promote China's green product exports?
As a major policy tool to inhibit greenhouse gas emissions,international carbon emissions trading covers about 23%of global greenhouse gas emissions and affects the development pattern of global trade.This paper analyzes the impact of the establishment of the international carbon emission trading market on China's product exports and its green transformation by establishing an expanded trade gravity model at the product level.After a series of endogenous treatments and robustness tests such as overlapping difference-in-difference method,it was found that the establishment of carbon emission trading markets in various countries(regions)significantly inhibits the total export of Chinese enterprises and the export of high polluting products,and significantly promotes the export of green products of Chinese enterprises,thus driving the green transformation of Chinese enterprise product exports;The results of heterogeneity test show that compared to developing countries(regions),the es-tablishment of carbon emission trading markets in developed countries(regions)has a stronger inhibiting effect on China's high pollution product exports and a stronger driving effect on green product exports;The establishment of the international carbon emission trading market has the strongest inhibiting effect on China's electricity product exports and the most significant promoting effect on the export of clean technology products.

carbon emission tradinggreen product exportgravity modeloverlapping DID model

王文治、任暠凯

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天津师范大学经济学院,天津 300387

碳排放权交易 绿色产品出口 引力模型 交叠DID模型

国家社会科学基金一般项目天津市哲学社会科学规划课题天津市研究生科研创新项目

19BJY084TJLJ18-0062022KY273

2024

价格月刊
《价格月刊》杂志社

价格月刊

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.563
ISSN:1006-2025
年,卷(期):2024.(7)