基于VAR模型的专业市场与跨境电商融合发展研究
A Research on the Integration Development of Specialized Markets and Cross-border E-commerce Based on VAR Model
季晓伟1
作者信息
- 1. 义乌工商职业技术学院,浙江金华 322000
- 折叠
摘要
专业市场如何应对电子商务冲击,是近二十年来各界普遍关注的现实问题.跨境电商和市场采购两种新业态新模式已成为我国外贸高质量发展的新引擎,专业市场与跨境电商的关系从冲击应对走向融合发展.浙江省义乌市是专业市场和跨境电商的改革前沿阵地.利用义乌市2008-2022年的时间序列数据,建立向量自回归模型,定量分析专业市场与跨境电商的融合发展关系.结果表明:专业市场生态体系有利于跨境电商"嵌入式"发展,专业市场的持续改革有效应对了跨境电商冲击,但两者融合发展仍缺乏互动效应和长效机制.为进一步促进两者融合发展,应搭建专业市场跨境电商平台、叠加商流和信息流带动产业转型升级、融通跨境电商进口贸易供应链和配套政策.
Abstract
How to deal with the impact of e-commerce on the specialized markets is a practical issue that has attracted widespread attention in the past two decades.The two new types of commercial mode named cross-border e-commerce and market procurement have become new engines for high-quality development of China's foreign trade,and the relationship between specialized markets and cross-border e-commerce has moved from shock response to integrated development.Yiwu City in Zhejiang Province is the forefront of reform in specialized markets and cross-border e-commerce.This article uses the time series data of Yiwu City from 2008 to 2022 to establish a vector auto regressive model(VAR)to quantitatively analyze the integration-development relationship between specialized markets and cross-border e-commerce.The results show that the specialized market ecosystem is conducive to the"embedded"development of cross-border e-commerce,and the continuous reform of the specialized markets has effectively responded to the impact of cross-border e-commerce,but the integration development of the two commercial modes still lacks significant effects and long-term mechanisms.In order to further promote the integration development,the specialized markets should established a platform to integrate the trade entities of cross-border e-commerce,superimpose business flow and information flow to drive industrial transformation and upgrading,and apply the import trade supply chain and supporting policies to cross-border e-commerce.
关键词
专业市场/跨境电商/外贸新业态/融合发展/VAR模型Key words
specialized markets/cross-border e-commerce/new forms of foreign trade/integration development/VAR model引用本文复制引用
基金项目
2019年度浙江省高等教育"十三五"第二批教学改革研究项目(jg20190871)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据