Influencing Factors and Zoning Governance of Rural Residential Land Withdrawal in Jiangsu Province
Based on the data of 6754 households in Jiangsu Province from 2018 to 2022,this paper uses spatial autocorrelation model to analyze the spatial characteristics of farmers'willingness in terms of rural residential land withdrawal,used the methods of Logistic and threshold model to analyze the influence mechanism of risk carrying capacity on farmers'willingness,and puts forward the governance scheme according to local conditions.Results show that:1)Subjective norms,behavioral attitudes and perceived behavioral control have a positive impact on farmers'willingness.2)The impact of risk carrying capacity on farmers'willingness has a double threshold effect.3)Combined with the spatial correlation of farmers'willingness and the threshold effect of risk carrying capacity,it designates the core preferred area,key reform area,key adjustment areas,moderate reform area and comprehensive reform area.Among them,Huai'an and Suqian with moderate risk carrying capacity is designated as the core preferred areas,and should be reform demonstration areas.Lianyungang,Yangzhou and Taizhou,as key reform areas,should strengthen the regional linkage,and promote the spatial diffusion of farmers'willingness.As a key adjustment area,Nantong should focus on preventing the backflow effect of farmers'willingness.As moderate reform areas,Nanjing,Zhenjiang,Changzhou,Wuxi and Suzhou should strengthen policy guidance and enhance farmers'willingness.Xuzhou and Yancheng,as comprehensive reform areas,need to improve the rural security mechanism and strengthen the risk carrying capacity of farmers.