Evolution of Geo-economic Linkages Between China,Russia and Central Asian Countries and Its Influencing Factors
This paper constructs a multidimensional evaluation index of geo-economic linkage intensity,uses the methods of polygon method,vector sum method,and grey relational analysis to comparatively analyze the evolution of geo-economic linkage intensity between China,Russia and Central Asian countries,and its the influencing factors.The results show that:1)The geo-economic linkage intensity between China and Central Asian countries overall shows a trend of fluctuating growth,while the geo-economic linkage intensity between Russia and Central Asian countries is basically stable.The geo-economic linkage intensity between Russia and Central Asian countries is higher than that of China-Russia.2)The role of geopolitics in the geo-economic linkages between China,Russia and Central Asian countries has declined,while the role of trade and transportation in the geo-economic linkages between China,Russia and Central Asian countries has risen.The geo-economic linkages between China and Central Asian countries have gradually shifted from being jointly dominated by trade,transportation,and geopolitics to being jointly dominated by trade and investment,while the geo-economic linkages between Russia and Central Asian countries have shifted from being jointly dominated by tourism,trade,and geopolitics to being jointly dominated by trade,tourism,and transportation.3)The geo-economic linkage intensities of China-Central Asian countries and Russia-Central Asian countries both show the pattern which is higher in north of Central Asia and lower in the south of Central Asia,but the geo-economic linkage intensities between Russia and the four countries in the south of Kazakhstan fluctuate greatly.4)Resource endowment is a common and important driving force for the evolution of the geo-economic linkage intensity between China,Russia and Central Asian countries.The geo-economic linkages between China and Central Asian countries are more dependent on market size compared with Russia,and the geo-economic linkages between Russia and Central Asian countries are more sensitive to the level of economic development and political stability than that of China.
geo-economic linkagespolygon methodthe Belt and Road InitiativeChinaRussiaCentral Asia countries
万方数据
维普
