长三角城市群数字经济与制造业高质量发展耦合协调时空演化及影响因素

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中文摘要：数字经济的持续快速增长，已成为推动我国制造业高质量发展的重要力量。文章基于长三角城市群41个地级及以上城市2012-2021年面板数据，利用耦合协调度模型与空间杜宾模型，考察了数字经济与制造业高质量发展的耦合协调时空演化特征及其影响因素。结果表明:①数字经济与制造业高质量发展的耦合协调度不断增强。从整体上看，长三角城市群数字经济与制造业在时序演化特征方面呈现高度耦合协调发展趋势;从城市层面看，其呈现出明显的地区差异性。②不同区域数字经济与制造业耦合协调水平存在较大差异，提升空间较大。从空间演化特征看，优质协调、良好协调和中级协调占比很低，还有很大提升空间;从空间相关性看，呈现出显著的空间相关性，具体表现为空间集聚特征。③相邻城市之间数字经济与制造业耦合协调度相互影响且存在一定差异。其中，经济发展水平、金融发展水平、利用外资水平和产业结构优化对邻近地区的耦合协调度具有显著的正向促进作用，政府干预、对外开放度对邻近地区的耦合协调度具有显著的抑制作用，而人力资本没有通过显著性水平检验。最后，提出要强化顶层设计、辐射带动和支撑保障，共同为城市群数字经济和制造业高质量耦合协同发展提供源动力。

外文标题：Spatial-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of the Coupling Coordination of Digital Economy and High-quality Development of Manufacturing Industry in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration

外文摘要：The continuous and rapid growth of the digital economy has become an important force to promote the high-quality development of China's manufacturing industry.Based on the panel data of 41 cities at the prefecture level and above from 2012 to 2021 in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration,this paper analyzes the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of the coupling coordination between the digital economy and the high-quality development of manufacturing industry and its influencing factors using the coupled coordination model and the spatial Durbin model.It'found that:1)The degree of coupling coordination between the digital economy and the high-quality development of manufacturing industry continues to strengthen.In terms of temporal evolution characteristics,it shows a highly coupling coordination development trend between the digital economy and the manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration,and has obvious regional differences.2)There are great differences in the coupling coordination level between the digital economy and the manufacturing industry in different regions,and there is a large room for improvement.From the perspective of spatial evolution,the proportion of high-quality coordination,good coordination and intermediate coordination is very low,and there is still much room for improvement.From the perspective of spatial correlation,there is a significant spatial correlation,which is embodied in the characteristics of spatial agglomeration.3)The coupling coordination degree between the digital economy and the manufacturing industry affects each other and has some differences between neighboring cities.Among them,the level of economic development,the level of financial development,the utilization level of foreign capital and the optimization of industrial structure have a significant positive promoting effect on the coupling coordination degree of neighboring areas,the government intervention and the degree of opening to the outside world have a significant inhibiting effect on the coupling coordination degree of neighboring areas,while human capital fails the significance level test.According to the above,it proposes some suggestions:strengthening the top-level design,radiation drive and support capability,and providing impetus for the coupling coordination development between the digital economy and the high-quality development of manufacturing industry in urban agglomerations.

外文关键词：

digital economymanufacturing industryhigh-quality developmentcoupling coordinationfinanceinnovationthe Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration

作者：

颜平、周闻宇、王瑞荣、金湖江

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作者单位：

浙江机电职业技术大学数字商贸学院,中国浙江杭州 310006

浙江大学国际联合商学院,中国浙江杭州 310006

绍兴职业技术学院范蠡商学院,中国浙江绍兴 312000

关键词：

数字经济制造业高质量发展耦合协调金融创新长三角城市群

基金：

国家社会科学基金项目浙江省软科学项目浙江省高校重大人文社会科学攻关计划项目

项目编号：

19BGL0842022C350792023QN134

出版年：

2024

DOI：

10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2024.07.009

经济地理

中国地理学会湖南省经济地理研究所

经济地理

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心

影响因子：2.575

ISSN：1000-8462

年,卷(期)：2024.44(7)