首页|长江经济带市域数字经济与城乡融合发展耦合协调格局及其作用机制

长江经济带市域数字经济与城乡融合发展耦合协调格局及其作用机制

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文章基于2011-2020年长江经济带108个地级市的面板数据,应用耦合协调度和PVAR模型分析并探讨了数字经济与城乡融合发展的耦合协调和相互作用关系.结果表明:①2011-2020年长江经济带108个地级市数字经济与城乡融合发展的关系基本实现了从轻度失调向基本协调的转变,其中省会城市的数字经济与城乡融合发展始终保持较高的耦合协调度,且对邻近地级市具有较强的辐射带动作用.②从不同地区数字经济与城乡融合发展的耦合协调度看,长江下游城市>长江上游城市>长江中游城市.其中,长江下游城市长期处于领先状态;长江中、上游城市在2011-2016年基本相当,但自2017年以来上游城市要明显高于中游城市.③目前长江经济带地级市数字经济与城乡融合尚未形成长期良性的互动关系.具体来说,城乡融合发展促进了数字经济增长,而数字经济对城乡融合发展的作用存在明显的区域异质性.其中,对上游城市和下游城市的城乡融合发展具有短期推动作用,但对中游城市城乡融合发展存在一定的负面影响.因此,为实现数字经济与城乡融合发展的最优解,上游欠发达的地级市应注重发展问题,增强经济发展动力;中游地区应补齐发展短板,打造数字经济发展增长极;下游发达的地级市应注重区域协调问题,统筹推进区域数字经济发展.
Spatial-temporal Pattern and Mechanism of the Coupling Coordination Relationship Between Digital Economy and Urban-rural Integration Development at Prefectural level in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
Based on the panel data of 108 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2011 to 2020,this study applies the coupling coordination degree and PVAR model to analyze and explore the coupling coordination relationship between digital economy and urban-rural integration development.The results show that:1)The relationship between digital economy and urban-rural integration development basically realized the transformation from mildly dysfunctional to basically coordinated in 108 prefectural-level cities of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2011 to 2020,among which the digital economy and urban-rural integration development of provincial capital cities always maintain a high degree of coupling coordination and have a strong radiation-driven effect on the neighboring prefecture-level cities.2)In terms of the coupling coordination degree between digital economy and urban-rural integration development in different regions,cities in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River are higher than that in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River,followed by cities in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River.Among them,cities in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River have been in the lead for a long time,cities in the middle and upper reaches of the Yangtze River were basically comparable in 2011-2016,but cities in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River have been significantly higher than that in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River since 2017.3)At present,it has not formed a long-term positive interactive relationship between digital economy and urban-rural integration development in prefecture-level cities of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.Specifically,the development of urban-rural integration promotes the growth of the digital economy,while there is obvious regional heterogeneity in the role of the digital economy on the development of urban-rural integration.Among them,it has a short-term promotion effect on the urban-rural integration development in prefecture-level cities of the upper and lower reaches of the Yangtze River,but has a certain negative impact on the urban-rural integration development in prefecture-level cities of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River.Therefore,in order to realize the optimal solution of digital economy and urban-rural integration development,underdeveloped prefecture-level cities in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River should focus on development issues and enhance the economic development momentum.The prefecture-level cities in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River should make up for the short boards of development and create the growth poles of digital economy development.The developed prefecture-level cities in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River should focus on the issue of regional coordination,and coordinate the promotion of the regional digital economy development.

digital economyurban-rural integrationcoupled coordinationPVAR modelaction mechanismcoordinated development of regionsYangtze River Economic Belt

孟贵、王开泳、王甫园、李贺

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中国科学院 地理科学与资源研究所&区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,中国 北京 100101

中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,中国 北京 100049

中国农业科学院 农业经济与发展研究所,中国 北京 100081

数字经济 城乡融合 耦合协调 PVAR模型 作用机制 区域协调发展 长江经济带

2024

经济地理
中国地理学会 湖南省经济地理研究所

经济地理

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.575
ISSN:1000-8462
年,卷(期):2024.44(11)