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海南自由贸易港城乡融合发展水平的时空特征及其驱动机理

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文章以海南自由贸易港18市(县)为研究单元,运用加速遗传算法投影寻踪模型(RAGA-PPC)测算2012-2022年城乡融合发展水平,采用核密度方法、GIS空间分析和随机森林模型探究城乡融合发展水平时空演化特征及驱动机理。研究发现:①海南自由贸易港城乡融合发展水平整体呈现向好态势且存在明显的"M"型时序演进阶段性特征和"1主峰+2侧峰"的多级分化趋势。②整体水平由研究前期的自东向西大致呈现出"低高低"的倒"V"型结构转变为研究后期的南北两端高值集聚、中部低水平极化贯穿东西的分布特征。③农业发展规模和交通可达性属于强影响型主导因子,财政支农比、对外开放度、政府干预等因素属于影响型助力因子,而教育支持度则属于弱影响型因子,各驱动因子的边际影响力变化和地区间对于资金、平台、渠道、政策的反映和接纳能力差异是产生时空异质性的根本原因。
Spatio-temporal Characteristic of Urban-Rural Integration Development Level in Hainan Free Trade Port and Its Driving Mechanism
Taking the 18 cities and counties of Hainan Free Trade Port as the research unit and using the real coding based accelerating genetic algorithm and projection pursuit classification model(RAGA-PPC),this paper measures the level of urban-rural integration development from 2012 to 2022,and adopts the kernel density method,GIS spatial analysis,and the random forest model to explore the characteristics of the spatial and temporal evolution of the level of urban-rural integration development and its driving mechanism.It's found that:1)The level of urban-rural integration development of Hainan Free Trade Port presents a good trend and there is an obvious stage characteristics of M-shaped chronological evolutionary and multi-level differentiation trend of"1 main peak+2 side peaks".2)The overall level has changed from an inverted"V"structure with a"low-high-low"pattern from the east of Hainan Free Trade Port to the west of Hainan Free Trade Port in the early part of the study to a distribution with a concentration of high values at the north and south ends and a low-level polarisation in the central part running through the east and west of Hainan Free Trade Port in the late part of the study.3)Agricultural development scale and transportation accessibility are strong influence-type dominant factors,the ratio of financial support for agriculture,openness to the outside world,government intervention and other factors are influence-type contributing factors,while the degree of education support is a weak influence-type factor,and the changes in the marginal influence of the driving factors and the reflective and receptive capacity of the funds,platforms,channels,and policies among the regions are the fundamental reasons for the spatio-temporal heterogeneity.

urban-rural integrationlevel measurementdriving mechanismurbanizationagriculturetransportationHainan Free Trade Port

郭庆宾、马梦瑶、程叶青

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海南大学国际商学院,中国海南海口 570228

海南师范大学地理与环境科学学院,中国海南海口 571158

城乡融合 水平测度 驱动机理 城镇化 农业 交通 海南自由贸易港

2024

经济地理
中国地理学会 湖南省经济地理研究所

经济地理

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.575
ISSN:1000-8462
年,卷(期):2024.44(12)