基于劳动生产率分解的中国工业发展跨期调整的空间特征
Spatial Characteristics of Cross Period djustment in China's Industrial Development Based on the Decomposition of Labor Productivity
刘亮 1张奉君 1李昊匡 2周茂彬3
作者信息
- 1. 上海社会科学院,中国 上海 200020
- 2. 上海大学政治经济学研究中心,中国 上海 200444
- 3. 万联证券股份有限公司,中国 广东 广州 510630
- 折叠
摘要
文章基于劳动生产率分解模型,从全国、区域、省份层面将中国31个省份1980-2022年的劳动生产率分解为产业内增长与结构间增长,并结合空间性和结构性判断中国工业发展跨期调整特征,及是否存在"过早去工业化".结果表明:①全国层面,中国不存在"过早去工业化"问题;②区域层面,东部属于正常去工业化,中西部仍在工业化,东北存在"过早去工业化";③省份层面,中国"去工业化"具有显著的空间特征,多种工业化现象同时存在.
Abstract
Based on the labor productivity decomposition model,this paper decomposes labor productivity into intra-industry growth and inter-structural growth in 31 provincial-level regions of China from 1980 to 2022 at the national,regional and provincial levels.Combining the spatial and structural characteristics,it estimates the characteristics of cross period adjustment in China's industrial development and whether there is"premature deindustrialization".The results indicate that:1)At the national level,there is no problem of"premature deindustrialization"in China.2)At the regional level,the eastern region belongs to the normal deindustrialization,the central and western regions are still industrializing,and there is a phenomenon of"premature deindustrialization"in the northeastern region.3)At the provincial level,China's"deindustrialization"has significant spatial characteristics,with multiple industrialization phenomena coexisting simultaneously.
关键词
去工业化/劳动生产率/产业内增长/结构间增长/转型升级/要素流转Key words
deindustrialization/labor productivity/intra-industry growth/inter-structural growth/transformation and upgrading/factor flow引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024