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中国市域旅游高质量发展格局演化与影响因素

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动态把握旅游高质量发展时空演化与影响因素对推动旅游强国建设具有重要的理论意义和实践价值.文章基于旅游高质量发展内涵,从旅游产品服务、旅游绿色发展、旅游经济活力和旅游共享发展4个维度,构建旅游高质量发展评价指标体系;通过博弈论组合赋权TOPSIS法测度2011-2020年中国264个地级及以上城市旅游高质量发展水平;借助空间马尔可夫链、最优参数地理探测器和时空地理加权回归等方法分析其格局演化与影响因素.结果表明:①中国城市旅游高质量发展呈"多核集聚"的空间分布特征;热点区集中在南部沿海地区,冷点区集中在中西部地区;均衡熵结果表明50.4%的城市未来旅游发展潜力较大,主要分布在北京、上海、广东、重庆、安徽等地.②相邻地区对于本地旅游高质量发展起重要作用,旅游高质量发展等级变化呈现出稳定的路径依赖和俱乐部趋同效应,且难以实现跨越式提高.③城镇化水平、数字经济和对外开放对旅游高质量发展起主导作用,且主要因素的影响具有时空分异特征.④从地理学本性来看,旅游高质量发展受地理学三大本性综合作用的影响.其中以自然要素为代表的地理学第一本性起基础性作用,以传统经济发展要素为代表的地理学第二本性起支撑性作用,以新经济要素为代表的地理学第三本性起引领性作用.研究结果不仅进一步深化了地理学本性理论和旅游高质量发展关系研究,还为推进旅游高质量发展提供了理论支撑和实践参考.
Pattern Evolution and Influencing Factors of High-Quality Tourism Development in Urban Areas of China
Dynamically grasping the spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of tourism high-quality development has important theoretical significance and practical value for promoting the construction of a strong tourism country.Based on the connotation of tourism high-quality development,this study constructs an evaluation index system encompassing four dimensions:tourism product services,tourism green development,tourism economic vitality,and tourism shared development.Utilizing the game theory combination weighting TOPSIS method,it assess the level of tourism high-quality development in 264 prefecture-level and above cities across China from 2011 to 2020.It also employs the spatial Markov chains,optimal parameter geographic detectors,and spatiotemporal geographically weighted regression to analyze its pattern evolution and influencing factors.The results indicate that:1)Tourism high-quality development in China's urban areas exhibits a"multi-core agglomeration"spatial distribution characteristic,with hot spots concentrated in the southern coastal areas and cold spots in the central and western regions.The equilibrium entropy results show that 50.4%of cities have significant tourism development potential,primarily located in Beijing,Shanghai,Guangdong,Chongqing,and Anhui.2)Neighboring regions play a crucial role in local high-quality tourism development,with changes in development levels exhibiting stable path dependence and club convergence effects,making it challenging to achieve leapfrog improvements.3)Urbanization levels,digital economy,and openness to the outside world are the primary factors influencing tourism high-quality development,with their impacts exhibiting spatiotemporal differentiation.4)From a geographical perspective,tourism high-quality development is influenced by the comprehensive effects of three geographic natures:The first geographic nature,represented by natural elements,plays a foundational role;The second geographic nature,represented by traditional economic development factors,serves a supporting role;The third geographic nature,represented by new economic factors,takes a leading role.The findings of this study not only deepen the relationship between geographic nature theory and tourism high-quality development,but also provide theoretical support and practical references for advancing tourism high-quality development at the urban scale.

tourism high-quality developmenturban tourismgreen developmenturbanization leveldigital economygeographical nature

闫明月、闫明涛、张野、赵建吉

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河南大学文化旅游学院,中国河南开封 475001

河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心/黄河文明省部共建协同创新中心,中国河南开封 475001

旅游高质量发展 城市旅游 绿色发展 城镇化水平 数字经济 地理学本性

2024

经济地理
中国地理学会 湖南省经济地理研究所

经济地理

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.575
ISSN:1000-8462
年,卷(期):2024.44(12)