首页|养老保险体系何以可持续?——基于基本养老保险与个人养老金协调发展的视角

养老保险体系何以可持续?——基于基本养老保险与个人养老金协调发展的视角

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本文构建一个世代交叠一般均衡模型,通过理论分析和数值模拟,探究基本养老保险与个人养老金的联合作用对重要经济变量的影响.研究发现,基本养老保险与个人养老金缴费率的合理组合可以在实现经济增长的同时提高养老金待遇水平;个人养老金缴费率对经济总产出的影响取决于领取期税率的大小,仅当领取期税率较低时,才可能对经济产生负面影响.个体异质性分析表明,与低收入群体相比,降低基本养老保险缴费率和提高个人养老金缴费率对高收入群体的私人储蓄影响更大.此外,降低基本养老保险缴费率会导致低收入群体的养老金总和替代率下降更为显著.
How Can the Pension System Develop Sustainably?From the Perspective of Coordinated Development Between Basic Pension and Personal Pension
This paper constructs an overlapping generation(OLG)model to theoretically analyze and numerically simulate the joint effects of basic pension and personal pension on significant economic variables.The research findings indicate that the reasonable combination of contribu-tion rates for basic pension and personal pension can concurrently achieve economic growth and enhance pension benefits.The impact of the personal pension contribution rate on economic out-put depends on the size of the deferred tax rate,and negative effects on the economy only occur when the deferred tax rate is at a low level.The individual heterogeneity analysis shows that com-pared to low-income groups,reducing the contribution rate for basic pension and increasing the contribution rate for personal pension have a more substantial impact on private savings for high-income groups.Additionally,lowering the contribution rate for basic pension leads to a more sig-nificant decrease in the total pension replacement rate for low-income groups.

personal pensionbasic pensionpension replacement rate

蓝浩歌、赵桂芹

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上海财经大学金融学院

个人养老金 基本养老保险 养老金替代率

上海财经大学研究生创新基金资助项目

CXJJ-2023-321

2024

经济科学
北京大学

经济科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.458
ISSN:1002-5839
年,卷(期):2024.(4)
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