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对外直接投资对中国区域经济韧性影响研究

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对外直接投资(OFDI)是影响中国区域经济韧性的重要因素.基于2005-2019年省级面板数据,运用非空间面板模型、空间面板模型和中介效应模型实证分析了 OFDI对中国区域经济韧性的影响及作用机制.研究表明:OFDI总体上促进了中国区域经济韧性的提升,该结论在一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;OFDI对邻近地区经济韧性的提升具有溢出效应.中介机制检验发现,OFDI能通过人力资本和技术创新机制间接提升中国区域经济韧性.空间异质性分析表明,OFDI促进东部地区和中西部地区经济韧性的提升,且对东部地区经济韧性的推动作用高于中西部地区;时间异质性分析表明,金融危机抵抗期OFDI对中国区域经济韧性的提升具有抑制作用,而在金融危机恢复期和转型期具有促进作用.
Research on the Influence of Outward Foreign Direct Investment on China's Regional Economic Resilience
Outward foreign direct investment(OFDI)is an important factor affecting China's regional economic resilience.Based on the provincial panel data from 2005 to 2019,this paper uses the non-spatial panel model,spa-tial panel model and mediating effect model to empirically analyze the impact and acting mechanism of OFDI on Chi-na's regional economic resilience.The study shows that:OFDI has generally promoted China's regional econom-ic resilience,and this conclusion still holds after a series of robustness tests;OFDI has spillover effect on the eco-nomic resilience of neighboring regions;the intermediary mechanism test finds that OFDI can indirectly promote Chinese regional economic resilience through human capital and technological innovation mechanism.The spatial heterogeneity analysis shows that OFDI promotes the economic resilience in the eastern and Midwestern regions,and promotes the economic resilience in the eastern regions higher than that in the Midwestern regions;the time het-erogeneity analysis shows that OFDI suppresses the regional economic resilience before the resistance phase of the financial crisis,but it can promote it during the crisis recovery and transition period.

Outward foreign direct investmentRegional economic resilienceNon-spatial panel modelSpa-tial panel modelMediating effects

王娟、张翔

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广西大学经济学院,广西南宁 530004

对外直接投资 区域经济韧性 非空间面板模型 空间面板模型 中介效应

国家社会科学基金一般项目

17BGJ024

2024

经济论坛
河北省社会科学院

经济论坛

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.394
ISSN:1003-3580
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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