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我国产品出口对RCEP伙伴国的市场依赖度分析

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随着RCEP的正式生效,在新发展格局下研究我国与RCEP伙伴国的经贸合作具有重要意义.利用2000-2019年联合国商品贸易统计数据库和世界银行数据库的出口贸易数据,基于扩展的引力模型,用市场提供指数衡量我国对RCEP伙伴国出口产品的竞争力差异,并结合我国对RCEP伙伴国的产品出口现状,分析在RCEP背景下我国贸易出口如何实现高质量发展.研究发现:关税及进口税占税收收入的比重是我国对RCEP伙伴国贸易出口的重要影响因素,通过进一步细分产品市场,发现它对不同类别产品市场的影响不同.其中,对产业链上游产品的市场影响更大,即对质量较低的出口产品的影响高于质量较高的出口产品.基于以上结果,提出在RCEP区域贸易协定环境下,推进中日韩合作、挖掘产业链上游产品的生产潜力、吸引优质的外国直接投资等建议,促进我国贸易市场实现高水平开放.
Market Dependence Analysis of Chinese Product Exports on RCEP Partner Countries
With the official effectiveness of the RCEP,it is of great significance to study the economic and trade cooperation between China and its RCEP partners under the new development pattern.Using export trade data from the United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database and the World Bank database from 2000-2019,based on an extended gravity model,the market offer index is used to measure the differences in the competitive-ness of different categories of products exported by China to RCEP partner countries,and to analyze how China's trade exports in the context of RCEP can achieve high quality development.The study shows that tariffs and import duties as a share of tax revenue are important influencing factors for China's trade exports to other RCEP allied countries,and by further segmenting the product markets,it is found that it has different impacts on different catego-ries of product markets.Among them,the market impact on the upstream products of the industrial chain is greater,i.e.,the impact on lower quality exports is higher than that of higher quality exports.Based on the above results,sug-gestions are made to promote cooperation between China,Japan and South Korea,explore the production potential of upstream products in the industrial chain,and attract high-quality foreign direct investment in the RCEP RTA environment to promote a high level of opening of China's trade market and high-quality development of trade.

RCEPExportsProduct competitivenessMarket offering index

张思、李五荣

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湘潭大学商学院,湖南湘潭 411105

RCEP 产品竞争力 市场提供指数 市场依赖度

2024

经济论坛
河北省社会科学院

经济论坛

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.394
ISSN:1003-3580
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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